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The New England Patriots are aiming to stay on track on Sunday afternoon on the road against the Miami Dolphins.
Patriots continuing to chug along
It has been yet another highly successful campaign for the Patriots currently holding one of the best records in the league that has them in play for not only a first-round playoff bye but also the top overall spot in the AFC postseason picture. This has featured some ups and downs, but New England has continued to push through these issues to stay on top in their hunt toward the playoffs and much further. A significant part of this chatter has centered on the play of star quarterback Tom Brady as he has a notable drop off in production that has been a bit below the typical elite play from him over his the course of his career. Brady has piled up some productive numbers that has him currently at ninth in the league at 3,342 passing yards along with 20 touchdowns to eight interceptions while holding a 96.8 passer rating.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) December 3, 2018
This has been a slot below what has become expected from him as being one of the most productive quarterbacks in the league. However, he has continued to lead the Patriots to success coming off another respectable outing where he completed 24-of-32 passes for 311 yards along with a touchdown and interception. It has simply been some steady play that has been enough to push the team forward. Meanwhile, where the production has come has been in the running game with some much-needed balance to the offense as rookie running back Sony Michel as he has piled up 649 rushing yards and five touchdowns. This includes notching three 100 rushing yard performances that have been key to the team finding success on the field. The balance in the offense has made them an even more difficult matchup beyond their prowess in the passing game with game-changing talents such as wideout Josh Gordon, tight end Rob Gronkowski, and wideout Julian Edelman. All of this should present much difficulty for the Dolphins to overcome on Sunday afternoon.
Dolphins struggling to find consistency
Heading into Week 14 action against the Patriots, the Dolphins have found themselves in the thick of the playoff race for the final wildcard spot as one of four teams hold a 6-6 record just a game behind the Baltimore Ravens. It has been a topsy-turvy type of campaign for Miami fluttering in and out of the postseason picture over the last few weeks. There has been an utter of consistency as the team has had difficulty finding their rhythm after a solid start out of the gate to the season where they won their first three games. Since then, they have dropped six out of their last nine games played. This all began with a 38-7 drumming by the Patriots that brought them back down to earth a bit as it made it clear what type of team that they possess. It is one that has struggled to find a solid level of play each week.
— Hard Rock Stadium (@HardRockStadium) December 2, 2018
This has seen them have issues under center that saw quarterback Ryan Tannehill deal with a shoulder injury that forced him to miss a significant amount of time. Tannehill has played effectively in the last two games since his return throwing for five touchdowns to one interception with 341 passing yards. He has proven to be a more than serviceable quarterback but hasn’t translated to the team taking it to the next level offensively ranking 29th overall while being tied for 25th with 20.3 points per contest, 28th in passing, and 24th in rushing. Their lack of consistent offensive productivity has made it difficult to trust them on a weekly basis. The play of veteran running back Frank Gore continuing to prove to be an ageless wonder with a team-best 616 rushing yards is a quite a sight, but it’s not what the team needs to take it the next level. This should all come full circle against the Patriots on Sunday in what may likely be another one-sided after in favor of the visitors.
- Dolphins are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dolphins are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December.
- Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Patriots have had their history against the Dolphins where Brady hasn’t doesn’t so well on the road in Miami. However, New England is taking strides in the right direction with their balanced approach with both the running and passing game heading into the contest. The Patriots are also 4-1 ATS in their last five meeting against the Dolphins.
Prediction: New England -7.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Although the Patriots hold a decisive edge in the contest, there shouldn’t be plenty of offense to go around. This should be a lower-scoring affair with New England easing by Miami’s struggling offense on Sunday night. It also helps that the under 4-0 in Dolphins’ last four games played overall.
Prediction: Under 47