Arizona Cardinals vs. Indianapolis Colts, 9-17-2017 - Expert Prediction
Written by: David Hess
Arizona Cardinals (0-1 SU, 0-1-0 PS, 1-0-0 O/U) vs Indianapolis Colts (0-1 SU, 0-1-0 PS, 1-0-0 O/U)
When: 1:00 PM EDT, Sunday, September 17, 2017
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
Lines: Arizona -7.5
The NFC West battles the AFC North in some inter-conference NFL action this afternoon as the Arizona Cardinals take on the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Cardinals took a 35-23 loss at Detroit to start their season, while the Colts were embarrassed against the Rams on the road as they fell 46-9 in that game.
Cardinals’ Defense Gets Carved Up By Stafford
The Arizona Cardinals were expected by many to walk away with a win in their opener against the Lions on the road, but Detroit had other plans in their 35-23 win. The Cardinals were a solid defensive team last year especially against the pass as they allowed just 210 ypg passing on the year, but Matthew Stafford threw for 292 yards with four TDs and just one INT against them. The Cardinals really need that defense to step up as the season goes on, but they may be okay in this one, especially if Tolzien gets the nod at QB for the Colts. Their run defense was strong last year and it had a very good showing against the Lions as they allowed just 82 yards rushing in the game. They will look to have a much better showing on defense in this one.
On offense, they were good for just 309 yards of total offense, including just 45 yards on the ground. Carson Palmer did throw for 269 yards and a TD in the game, but he also had three costly INTs in the game as well. INTs were a problem for him last year as he had 14 of them. Palmer and this offense will look to get back on track against a Colts team that really struggled on defense against the Rams. David Johnson was at the top of most fantasy boards and is considered one of the best all around backs in the league, but he has just 23 yards rushing on 11 carries in the game and injured his wrist in the game. He is expected to miss significant time. The Cardinals were 9th in the league in total offense last year and 6th in the league in scoring, but they hardly looked like that team in game one. They are hoping that game two will be a much different result.
The Colts Are Lost Without Andrew Luck
The Indianapolis Colts will only go as far as Andrew Luck can take them and they found that out in game one as he missed the opener against the Rams and the Colts fell by a score of 46-9 in that game. Scott Tolzien got the start at QB and his first pass was picked off and ran back for a TD. He also had another pass intercepted and ran back for a TD in the 3rd quarter. In all, Tolzien hit just nine of 18 passes for 128 yards and two TDs. Jacoby Brissett then came in and hit two of three passes for 51 yards, but he was also sacked in the endzone for a safety. This team will go nowhere at all unless Andrew Luck is on the field and he is out indefinitely with a shoulder injury. This is a team in trouble and they don’t have a running game to help out the QB as they ran for just 75 yards in the loss to the Rams.
Frank Gore led the ground attack with 42 yards, while Marlon Mack had just 24 yards, but he did score their lone TD in the game. Their defense didn’t fare a whole lot better as they allowed 373 yards of total offense in the game. The Run defense did well as they allowed just 63 yards on the ground, but their pass defense did not do well at all in the game and that was an issue for them last year as they allowed 262.5 ypg through the air, which was 26th in the league. Last year, Jared Goff really struggled at QB, but he carved the Colts defense up for 306 yards on 21 of 29 passing. Even if Luck comes back soon, this team has a lot of issues and will be hard=pressed to make a run at a playoff spot.
- 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
- 22-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game
- 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in September
The Indianapolis Colts could be a solid team this year, but only if Andrew Luck is on the field. Scott Tolzien is not a good NFL QB and Jacoby Brissett won’t be much better. Luck will miss this game again, but still, the Cardinals did not look that great in their opener and can they cover a big spread on the road? We shall see. The Cardinals big problem against the Lions was their defense, which was carved up by Matthew Stafford, but they will not be facing a good QB in this one and they were very strong against the pass last year. The Cardinals will get it figured out on that side of the ball, especially against a weak passing attack like the one they will face in this one. The Colts also don’t have a running game to help out their offense. The Colts also have issues on defense and Palmer is off a bad showing, so he should bounce back against the Colts in this one. This is a big spread, but as long as Luck is not QB, then the Colts will struggle to keep games close.
Pick: Arizona -7.5
I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.
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