New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots, 9-17-2017 - Expert Prediction
Written by: Brian Spaen
New England Patriots (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
vs New Orleans Saints (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, Sep 17th, 1:00 PM ET
Line: NE -4.5
TV/Live Stream: CBS
New Orleans will have their home opener at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome against the defending champions, New England, on Sunday afternoon. The Patriots were slapped around against Kansas City at home in a stunning conclusion. The Saints dropped a Monday Night Football contest, 29-19, to the Vikings. New England took down New Orleans 30-27 in their latest meeting on October 13th, 2013.
Brady takes rare loss in season opener at home
New England had a 27-21 lead after three quarters, but Kansas City took over with a shocking 78-yard reception from rookie running back Kareem Hunt to open up the fourth quarter. It sparked two more touchdowns and helped the Chiefs pull away in a stunning 42-27 victory over the defending champions. The Patriots’ defense gave up a whopping 537 total yards, and they even had the help from officials as they called 15 penalties on the red jerseys.
Quarterback Tom Brady had a rather human night, completing just 16-of-36 passes for 267 yards. He didn’t have a touchdown nor interception. The best receiver for the Pats was Danny Amendola, who’s stepping in the primary role, with 100 yards on six catches. He only missed one target, but Brandin Cooks missed four of them. He still ended up getting 88 yards on three catches he was able to reel in. Running back Mike Gillislee was the main goal-line back, stuffing it in the endzone three times.
Peterson can’t make impact against old team in rout
As usual, New Orleans’ defense looked like garbage in their opening loss to Minnesota. They gave up 470 yards and allowed the Vikings to convert 9-of-14 third down attempts. Sam Bradford only missed on five passing attempts out of 32 and registered 346 yards and 3 touchdowns with no picks. With an aging Drew Brees and running back Adrian Peterson needing some time to adjust to his new team, that’s completely unacceptable. It could get ugly for the Saints in the NFC South should Tampa Bay look great in their season debut.
Peterson was a non-factor as he finished with 18 yards on six carries. As a unit, the running attack only registered 60 yards on 21 total rushes. Brees completed 27-of-37 passing attempts for 291 yards and one touchdown. That lone touchdown was caught by Coby Fleener, who finished with 54 yards on 5 catches. Mark Ingram nearly equaled Peterson’s rushing game in this matchup and added 54 yards on 5 catches. It was a balanced passing attack that saw two other players get over 50 receiving yards, but they’ll hope to get Peterson rolling over the upcoming weeks.
- 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games
- 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game
- 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2
Having the Patriots at this low of a cost against one the league’s worst defenses is a steal. Dump everything about their season opener away and expect them to come back with a vengeance in this one.
Pick: NE -4.5
Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.
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