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New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks Prediction,
and Odds - 9-20-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#287 New England
Patriots 4
#288 Seattle
Seahawks -4

Sunday, September 20, 2020 at 8:20pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

For the first time since October 2013, the New England Patriots will be traveling to Seattle to face the Seahawks. Both teams made some splashes this offseason on different sides of the ball as the Patriots added a former MVP in Cam Newton while the Seahawks added two-time Pro Bowler Jamal Adams to their secondary.

New England had to completely revitalize their defense after losing most of their starters due to free agency or opting out of the 2020 season due to COVID. Seattle decided to focus on the passing game as the team finished with 299 passing yards, ranking them fifth in the league. On the other sideline, the Patriots have decided to let Cam Newton eat and be a dual-threat in the backfield with their onslaught of running backs. They ended up leading the league with 217 rushing yards as a team and are the only team with over 180 yards on the ground. Seattle’s defense could force the Patriots’ hand with their elite-level secondary and could load the tackle box.

Line Movements

The Seahawks have gone from -3 up to -4 while grabbing 66% of the bets.

The OU Line has gone from 44 up to 44.5, despite the Over getting 75% of the bets.

Gametime Weather: Clear with temps in the low 60s

Is This the New Patriots Offensive Strategy?

The Patriots changed their offensive philosophy this season after signing Cam Newton to be their new starting quarterback. It’s only one game but he finished the season opener against the Miami Dolphins with 15 carries, the second-most in his entire career. He did get 75 yards and a pair of touchdowns on the ground. The dual-threat quarterback could be an impressive weapon in a Josh McDaniels offense as the Patriots finished the game with 217 rushing yards with three trips to the endzone.

New England didn’t make any changes to their wide receiver position during the offseason as Julian Edelman, N’Keal Harry, and James White were the only players with multiple receptions as Newton went 15-of-19 for 155 yards. The strategy seems to be running the ball and controlling the time of possession.

New England’s Injury Report

Questionable: WR Matthew Slater, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Julian Edelman, DT Adam Butler, LB Brandon Copeland, and TE Dalton Keene

Out: LB Josh Uches

Can the Defense Come Alive?

A lot was said about the Seattle defense with the addition of Jamal Adams during the offseason. However, they struggled in their first game of the year last week against the Atlanta Falcons as they allowed 506 yards and gave up 25 points. The Seahawks forced Atlanta to pass the ball and still gave up 434 passing yards.

The Seahawks dominated offensively on the road against the Atlanta Falcons last week with Russell Wilson going 31-of-35 for 322 yards and four touchdowns. Every receiver except for DK Metcalf caught every target and the ball was distributed well. However, the running game wasn’t there as WIlson led the team with 29 rushing yards. Carlos Hyde and Chris Carson combined for 44 yards and a touchdown in 13 carries.

Without Russell Wilson having a career game by throwing for four touchdowns, this would have been a terrible game for Seattle. New England has a better offense with Cam Newton under center and are beginning to build rapport. Newton played well as a dual-threat quarterback with 15-of-19 passing and 15 carries against the Dolphins. With this new Josh McDaniels offense, there could be a lot of different aspects that the Seahawks are going to have to be on their toes for.

Seattle’s Injury Report

Questionable: WR Phillip Dorsett

Doubtful: DE Rasheem Green and OT Cedric Ogbuehi

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Even without a crowd, the Seahawks will be up for this game. This isn’t the same Patriots team that Pete Carroll is used to seeing but he knows most of the players, since not many changes have happened outside of the quarterback. New England is going to have difficulty on defense with most of the changes on that side of the ball. Russell Wilson is 2-0 with 6 touchdowns and no interceptions in his two games against New England in the regular season in his career. Seattle has a chip on their shoulder and should easily cover the spread in this game.

Prediction: Seattle -4

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Full-Game Total Pick

Seattle bursted on the scene by putting up 38 points on the Atlanta Falcons to open the season. The Patriots offense looks dynamic with Cam Newton under center. However, these are two incredible defenses that will be put on display. New England scored 21 points against the Dolphins and Seattle’s defense is elite. The under is 5-2 in the last 7 Seattle games and 5-1 for the Patriots in their last 6 games in September. Seattle should be able to put up 25+ points but the Patriots could struggle against the new iteration of the Legion of Boom. Expect the under to be a lock and the combined score to be closer to 45. 

Prediction: Under 52.5

Arthur L.

After playing sports throughout most of middle school, high school and college, Arthur has been writing about sports for nearly a decade. With years of experience he has built an interest in the betting world with a passion for writing on his back and has now landed with us here at StatSalt & Winners & Whiners.

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