Upcoming Free Picks

Oakland Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins,
9-23-2018 - Expert Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NFL games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#473 Oakland
Raiders 44
#474 Miami
Dolphins -3

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The undefeated Miami Dolphins welcome the winless Oakland Raiders to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday in the Sunshine State.  The 1pm kick means that Oak-town will be playing football at 10am California time.  Last week the Raiders blew a late lead and did not trail until seconds left in defeat in Denver.  The Fins took a trip to the Big Apple where they took down division rival New York, 20-12.  Oakland leads the all-times series 25-19-2 and has won two in a row with the Dolphins last victory coming in 2014.

Raiders Raring for a Victory

Jon Gruden’s return to the head coaching ranks in the NFL has been an unceremonious one, but some feel there is still reason for optimism.  After going toe-to-toe with the talented Rams for a half on Monday Night of opening weekend, they ultimately fell by 25 points.  This time around they shut the Donks out in the first half, holding a 12-0 lead in Denver at the break.  Unfortunately for “Da Raidas,” they forgot there were two halves to be played and the Broncos outscored them 20-7 in the second half en route to the one-point victory.

Derek Carr looked sharp, throwing for 288 yards and a score while there was also an Amari Cooper sighting. The third-year receiver out of Alabama hauled in 10 catches for 116 yards. Marshawn Lynch found it tough going all day and ended up with 65 yards on 18 carries, but did find the end zone once.

Oakland has the oldest roster in the NFL and if they are going to do anything to turn this ship around, now is the time.  They are outgaining the Dolphins by 63 yards per game and nearly 100 yards through the air. Carr will need to continue his resurgence if they want to come out South Beach with a win and take advantage of a Fins D that is giving up 277 yards passing per contest.  Running back Deandre Washington is listed as questionable and Lynch, as well as Doug Martin, should still see a bulk of the carries out of the backfield.

Fins Finding a Way

Not a whole lot was expected out of the Dolphins coming into this season.  That is not to say the team was expected to be bad.  The reality is nobody really knew what to think, but so far the team is exceeding expectations.  The seven-point victory over the Titans to open the season grabbed some attention and their eight-point win over the Jets is showing other teams that Miami is a squad to be reckoned with.

Tannehill is putting together a solid season to this point with four scores against two picks and 398 total yards through two games. Kenyan Drake is leading the ground game with 101 yards and a touchdown while Kenny Stills has six receptions for 123 yards and two scores. While none of these stats are overly impressive, whatever the team is doing, it is working. Can they do enough to make it work against the Raiders on Sunday. That is what we are trying to figure out here.

Matchup-wise, the Fins may not be putting up the yardage that their counterparts are, but they are outscoring the Raiders by over a touchdown per game. They are also allowing 25 yards less per contest.  Teams that start the season 3-0 increase their chances of making the playoffs dramatically and with the Patriots already sporting a loss, it would also give them a leg up in the division.

Wide Receiver DeVante Parker is listed as questionable for the contest.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The reality is that this is kind of a must win game for the Raiders and desperation can do a lot for a football team.  you can bet your money (and in a second I am going to tell you to) that Jon Gruden will be looking to save face and not allow his team to go 0-3 in his return to the NFL.  The fact that they are getting more than a field goal is even more of a bonus here.  Look for a competitive ballgame throughout here, but I like Oakland to win this one outright because this is around the time of the season when everybody thinks they might be starting to figure out things, and they usually haven’t.

Prediction: Pick: Oakland +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The under is a strong play for both of these teams, with it hitting in the last nine games the Raiders have participated in and eight of the last nine times that the Dolphins have played against a team with a losing road record. It has also hit the last four times the Raiders were on the road and the last four times the Fins played a squad with a losing record period. These trends are too hard to look past.

Prediction: Under 44

Chuck D

Chuck Dowling is a 30-something University of Florida J-School alum that lives in his mother’s basement. Just kidding... there are no basements in Florida (the ground is too moist). He has been in the “biz” for his entire adult life and specializes in NCAA football and basketball, as well as soccer, boxing, and MMA. When not writing, Chuck moonlights as a high school athletics radio and internet-television broadcaster.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Monday, Dec 17
NFL
#331 New Orleans Saints -6.5
#332 Carolina Panthers 54
8:15pm
View Pick
NBA
#529 Milwaukee Bucks
#530 Detroit Pistons
7:05pm
View Pick
#531 Phoenix Suns 218
#532 New York Knicks -2
7:35pm
View Pick
#537 Utah Jazz 212.5
#538 Houston Rockets -5.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#539 Philadelphia 76ers
#540 San Antonio Spurs
8:35pm
View Pick
#541 Memphis Grizzlies 209
#542 Golden State Warriors -11.5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#761 Arizona State -1.5
#762 Vanderbilt 153.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#763 Davidson -2
#764 Wake Forest 146
7:00pm
View Pick
#767 Pepperdine 149.5
#768 Oregon State -12.5
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#59 N.Y. Islanders 6
#60 Colorado -200
9:05pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Dec 18
NCAAF
#211 Northern Illinois 44
#212 UAB -2.5
7:00pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -2.5
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#219 BYU -12.5
#220 Western Michigan 48
4:00pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -6.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -4.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -3.5
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -4.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn -3.5
#242 Purdue 54.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse 74
#244 West Virginia -1.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State 54.5
#248 Washington State -3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida 50.5
#250 Michigan -7.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina -5.5
#252 Virginia 55
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State -2
#246 Nevada 58.5
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame 56
#256 Clemson -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma 79
#254 Alabama -14
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech
#258 Cincinnati
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh
#260 Stanford
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State
#262 Oregon
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri
#264 Oklahoma State
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern
#266 Utah
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State
#268 Texas A&M
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa
#270 Mississippi St
12:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky
#272 Penn State
1:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU
#274 UCF
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington
#276 Ohio State
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas
#278 Georgia
8:45pm
View Pick