Cleveland Browns vs. Indianapolis Colts, 9-24-2017 - Expert Prediction
Written by: Brian Spaen
Cleveland Browns (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
vs Indianapolis Colts (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, Sep 24th, 1:00 PM ET
Line: CLE -1
TV/Live Stream: CBS
Indianapolis will have their second consecutive home game at Lucas Oil Stadium and hosts Cleveland on Sunday afternoon. Both teams are coming in looking for their first win of the season. The Browns got pummeled against the Ravens while the Colts couldn’t pull off an upset over the Cardinals in overtime. Indianapolis has won four of the last five meetings against Cleveland.
Kizer struggles in second game, has four turnovers
Cleveland had five turnovers in their loss to Baltimore last week, negating a decent day on offense. Starting quarterback DeShone Kizer dealt with headaches and had to sit out in the middle of the contest. He finished completing 15-of-31 passes for 182 yards, and had no touchdowns while throwing three picks. He also coughed up a fumble. Backup Kevin Hogan completed 5-of-11 passes for 118 yards, had one touchdown, and also turned it over once. Both QBs were sacked a total of three times.
While they had more total yards (386) than the competition, it didn’t matter as the turnovers and converting just 2-of-12 third down attempts equated to a double-digit loss. They were also tagged with 11 penalties for 65 yards and didn’t convert their lone red zone opportunity. Wide receiver Rashard Higgins had a breakout day with seven catches for 95 yards, but he also missed four targets and didn’t reach the end zone. Corey Coleman will be out for six-to-eight weeks as he had surgery on a fractured right hand. He had one nine-yard catch in the game.
Colts compete, still take a loss
It was a lot better than the disastrous season opener, but Indianapolis still couldn’t find the win in a 16-13 overtime battle with Arizona. They avoided the Cardinals making a field goal at the end of regulation to win it, but an early pick in the overtime period put the opponent right back into position to win. This time, placekicker Phil Dawson wouldn’t miss the 30-yard opportunity. Quarterback Andrew Luck remains out, so Jacoby Brissett got the nod. He completed 20-of-37 passes for 216 yards, and his lone interception came at the worst time. Luck will be out again for this game.
Wide receiver Jack Doyle was the best target in the game, grabbing all eight opportunities for 79 yards. Running back Frank Gore led the team with 46 rushing yards on 14 carries and scored the team’s lone touchdown halfway through the first quarter. The offense was limited to 266 total yards and couldn’t convert another red zone opportunity. Defensively, the team gave up a lot of yards to Arizona but made them go 0-for-3 in the red zone. Both quarterbacks for each team were sacked four times.
- 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a losing home record
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September
- 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after an ATS win
Can you really trust Cleveland on the road? It’s the better of two evils in this matchup. Indianapolis still looked sloppy on offense and they benefited more with Arizona being significantly weaker without David Johnson.
Pick: CLE -1
Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.
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