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Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Prediction,
and Odds - 9-27-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#461 Las Vegas
Raiders 5.5
#462 New England
Patriots -5.5

Sunday, September 27, 2020 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) vs. New England Patriots (1-1)

Sunday features a battle of two teams looking to create an identity. The Raiders are now playing in Las Vegas and would like to continue the hype of an undefeated season in a city built on hype. New England is in the early stages of their first season in over a decade without Tom Brady under center. If Cam Newton can lead the Patriots to a victory here, it will go a long way to settling the nervous stomachs of New England fans.

This line was originally set at 6.5 in favor of New England winning, but has dropped to just 6.0. The Raiders were the smart pick already, but now 60% feel that taking the Raiders and the points is the way to go.

Line Movements:

There hasn't been a ton of movement on the line for this one. New England opened as a 6.5-point favorite and that line has dropped to New England -6 at this point. 65 percent of the bets ATS are backing the Patriots in this contest.

The over/under has stayed pretty stable this week. After opening at 46.5 points, the total has edged up to 47 or 47.5 points depending on the sportsbook. A narrow majority, 52 percent, think that this game will end up over the total.

Game-time Weather: Temperature at kickoff for this game is expected to be in the high-70s. The winds are expected from the south at about eight miles an hour with gusts kicking up to about 10 mph. There is less than a 10 percent chance of rain though there will be intermittent clouds in the forecast for this one.

Just Win Baby!

Year three of head coach Jon Gruden’s return to the Raiders is proving to be the season where the team turns the corner. With the victories over Carolina and New Orleans to start the season, the Raiders are 2-0 in their inaugural season in Las Vegas.

That has fans excited and with good reason. The offense is playing exceptionally well as quarterback where Derek Carr outdueled Drew Brees last week, throwing for 282 yards and three touchdowns in a 34-24 victory over the Saints. His favorite target was tight end Darren Waller, who already has 18 catches for 148 yards this season. Josh Jacobs had a nice day carrying the ball, gaining 88 yards on 27 carries. This comes after a 93-yard, three-touchdown performance in Week 1.

While the offense is clicking, the Las Vegas defense is in need of some work. They are fourth from the bottom in passing yards allowed and have given up 54 points total this season. Right now, they are able to sneak by because of how well the offense is playing. After all, Las Vegas has a 75.0% red zone efficiency, seventh-best in the NFL.

The Raiders have no major injuries this week, but they are going to have some problems with depth, especially on the offensive line. Tackles Trent Brown and Sam Young are both questionable. So is guard Richie Incognito.

Injury Report:

OUT: T Trent Brown, LB Ukeme Eligwe, G Richie Incognito, CB D.J. Killings, LB Nick Kwiatkowski, QB Marcus Mariota, LB Tanner Muse, TE Nick O'Leary, WR Henry Ruggs III, DE Jeremiah Valoaga, WR Tyrell Williams

Questionable: T Sam Young

Newton Keeps Offense Flying

All questions regarding whether Cam Newton could lead this New England offense appear to have been answered already. Despite the 35-30 loss to the Seattle Seahawks last weekend, Newton has proven that he can put up big numbers.

Newton threw for 397 yards against Seattle, completing 30 of 44 passes. He also rushed for 47 yards. Through the first two weeks, he has thrown for 552 yards and rushed for another 122. Those are the kind of numbers that could very well lead the team to another AFC East crown.

While Newton has been great, running back Sony Michel is a bust early on this. He has just 17 carries for 56 yards and a touchdown, disappointing numbers for a player looking for a breakout season. Julian Edelman continues to impress, making 8 catches for 179 yards last Sunday.

After allowing only 11 points in a Week 1 victory over Miami, the New England defense got lit up for 35 points and 429 yards. The Patriots recorded just two sacks and one interception.

The problem is that things may not improve for New England as they have a number of injuries. Safety Patrick Chung is on injured reserve as is linebacker Dont’a Hightower. Linebacker Brandon King is out indefinitely. Defensive tackle Michael Barnett is also on injured reserve.

Injury Report:

OUT: DL Beau Allen, C David Andrews, DT Michael Barnett, RB Brandon Bolden, OL Yodny Cajuste, OL Marcus Cannon, S Patrick Chung, RB Damien Harris, LB Dont'a Hightower, LB Brandon King, TE Matt LaCosse, WR Marqise Lee, WR Gunner Olszewski, OL Najee Toran, LB Josh Uche, FB Danny Vitale, RB James White

Questionable: OL Isaiah Wynn, QB Jarrett Stidham, DB Kyle Dugger, LB Brandon Copeland, DL Adam Butler

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This game should be one of the most entertaining of the season. Both teams have high-powered offenses that are playing exceptionally well and defenses that are suspect, to say the least. There is no doubt that New England is tough at home, but this is a Raiders team that is rolling behind Gruden’s offense.

I like New England to still win this game. However, they are not blowing out Las Vegas. This will be a high-scoring game where the contest will be in doubt until the remaining few minutes of the game. That I believe gives the Raiders the opportunity to keep it close, so take them plus the six points.

Prediction: Raiders (+6.0) (-115)

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Full-Game Total Pick

I will be honest with you. When I saw a total of 47.5 for this game, I almost burst out laughing. I would not be surprised to see 47 points scored in the first half of this contest. It may not get that absurd, but this is going to be a high-powered affair. Las Vegas has gone over that number in both their games this season while New England went over that total last Sunday.

Neither team plays very well defensively, and both Carr and Newton look quite comfortable in their offenses. Look for New England to win, 35-31.

Prediction: Take the way over 47.5 (-110)

The Admiral

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