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Los Angeles Rams vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction,
and Odds - 9-27-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#463 Los Angeles
Rams 1
#464 Buffalo
Bills -1

Sunday, September 27, 2020 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Los Angeles Rams (2-0) vs. Buffalo Bills (2-0)

No doubt that being 2-0 this early in the season doesn't mean you're winning the Super Bowl, but being undefeated after two games is a help toward reaching that goal. So, there is a lot of excitement for the Los Angeles Rams and the Buffalo Bills as they enter their clash on Sunday both at 2-0.

Buffalo initially was spotted as a three-point favorite, but the line has dropped to 2.5 since. Buffalo has won there one game at home this season while Los Angeles was victorious in their only game on the road this year.

Line Movements:

There has been only slight movement on the line in this contest. After opening as a three-point favorite, the Bills currently stand as a two-point favorite. 54 percent of the bets against the spread are backing the Rams with the points.

The over/under for this game has climbed a bit this week. After opening at 44.5 points, the current total, depending on the sportsbook, stands at 46.5 or 47 points. 75 percent of the bets on the total have backed this one going over the total.

Game-time Weather: Temperature at kickoff for this contest is expected to be in the high-70s with the temperature potentially hitting 80 during the contest. That's summer weather for Western New York in late September. Sunny skies are in the forecast with no rain expected and winds could be a bit tricky. They're coming out of the south-southwest around 15 miles an hour with gusts kicking up to 21 mph.

Are the Rams Back?

After a disappointing 2019 season, the Los Angeles Rams look like the team that advanced to the Super Bowl two years ago. The Rams opened the season with a victory over the Dallas Cowboys before heading out on the road last weekend to take on the Philadelphia Eagles.

Rams quarterback Jared Goff looks back in his 2018 form, throwing for 267 yards and three touchdowns. More importantly, he completed 20 of 27 passes without throwing an interception. Goff had great chemistry with Cooper Kupp (five catches, 81 yards) and Tyler Higbee (five catches, 54 yards, three TDs). The running game got a big afternoon from Darrell Henderson, who rushed for 81 yards and a touchdown on 12 carries.

If there is one area where the Rams are struggling it is on defense. Los Angeles is allowing an average of 243 yards per game through the air, but they have allowed just one touchdown. They have also struggled against the run, allowing 4.8 yards per carry and three touchdowns this season.

The Rams have a few notable injuries, especially in the running game. Cam Akers is doubtful for Sunday’s game and Malcolm Brown, who was the featured back in Week 1, is expected to return after fracturing his pinky finger. OL Joe Noteboom and DT A’Shawn Robinson are both listed as out.

Injury Report:

OUT: RB Cam Akers, LB Travin Howard, LB Justin Lawler, LB Terrell Lewis, OL Joe Noteboom, DT A'Shawn Robinson

Bills Edge Dolphins

The Buffalo Bills also find themselves at 2-0 thanks to a 31-28 victory over the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. This was a wild contest that saw Buffalo enter the fourth quarter leading 17-13, then hanging on as both teams scored a pair of touchdowns in the three-point victory.

Quarterback Josh Allen played exceptionally well for Buffalo, completing 24 of 35 passes for 417 yards and four touchdowns. Allen’s favorite target on the day was Stefon Diggs, who had eight catches for 153 yards and a touchdown. John Brown grabbed four balls for 82 yards and a TD. Buffalo opted to stay in the air, but Devin Singletary had a fine afternoon in the running game, carrying the ball 10 times for 56 yards.

While the Rams defense has been suspect, the Bills have been playing quite well defensively, at least against the run. Buffalo is allowing an average of 75.5 yards per game on the ground but is near the bottom of the league in passing yards allowed at 513. Opposing quarterbacks have posted an 89.6 quarterback rating against Buffalo this season.

TE Dawson Knox suffered a concussion last week and is questionable for this Sunday. Buffalo will be without a pair of cornerbacks as E.J. Gaines remains on IR and Josh Norman is out indefinitely.

Injury Report:

OUT: RB Zack Moss, TE Dawson Knox, LB Del'Shawn Phillips, G Jon Feliciano, CB E.J. Gaines, WR Isaiah Hodgins, DT Star Lotulelei, CB Josh Norman, TE Tommy Sweeney

Questionable: LB Tremaine Edmunds, CB Taron Johnson, LB Matt Milano

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This should be quite a matchup. Both offenses are coming off spectacular performances, especially for Buffalo. Josh Allen looked in complete command of this offense as the game went along and that should be very bad news for the Rams.

Los Angeles looks a lot like the 2018 team through the first two weeks and playing in Buffalo in September is not nearly the daunting task it would be in late November or December. This allows the Rams to use their full arsenal, but the defense is definitely a question mark for the Rams.

It will be the defense that will be the Achilles’ heel for Los Angeles on this day. Take Buffalo to win and cover the spread.

Prediction: Buffalo (-2.5) (-105)

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Full-Game Total Pick

When I first looked at the total of 47.5, that seemed a bit low. Buffalo is averaging 29 points per game through the first two weeks while Los Angeles is averaging 28.5. This would lead to the belief that this will be a game that is in the 50s.

Adding to that belief is the fact that the Rams have gone over in four of their last five games. However, Buffalo has gone under in four of their last five at home and have gone under in six of their last eight in September. Plus, they have gone under in six of their last seven against teams with a winning record.

This is a tough call, but I see this is going slightly over that total. Buffalo wins this game, 27-24.

Prediction: Take the over 47.5 (-110)

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