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Colorado vs. Buffalo,
10-11-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#5 Colorado
Avalanche -115
#6 Buffalo
Sabres -105

Thursday, October 11, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Avalanche

2 - 1

45-43
ATS
45-36
O/U
3
PPG
2
OPPG

Buffalo Sabres

2 - 1

25-57
ATS
39-38
O/U
2
PPG
3
OPPG

A defeat in Ohio brings the Colorado Avalanche (3rd in Central Division) to a road contest against the Buffalo Sabres (3rd in Atlantic), who have won two contests on the trot…

Avs Fall At Columbus

The first defeat of the season was finally on the cards for the Colorado Avalanche (2-1-0), who dropped a 5-2 decision against the Columbus Blue Jackets at Nationwide Arena on Tuesday. The Avs scored twice in the second frame to cancel out both first-period snipes by the hosts, with Nathan MacKinnon (3 goals, 4 points this year) burying a wrister three-and-a-half minutes into the middle session, and Carl Soderberg (2 goals, 4 points) netting six minutes later during power play for his 200th NHL career point. The final period, though, belonged to Columbus, who found the back of the net on three more occasions, including into an empty net with two minutes remaining.

Goalie Philipp Grubauer, who joined Colorado from the Washington Capitals over the summer, made his Avalanche debut with a 30-save performance, posting a save rate of 88.2%. Semyon Varlamov (2-0-0 with a 1.50 GAA and a .948 save percentage so far this season), though, is expected back in the crease for the trip to Buffalo, having gone 6-2-1 against the Sabres previously with a 2.46 GAA and a .916 save percentage. The Avalanche have started the new season, scoring the 10th highest number of goals per game (3.67), while allowing the 13th lowest quantity defensively (2.67). They are 10th in power play with a 27.3% success rate (3-for-11) and 7th in penalty kill with 91.7% proficiency (11-for-12).

Sabres Impress Against Vegas

The Buffalo Sabres (2-1-0) won for the second consecutive time after beating the Vegas Golden Knights with a count of 4-2 at KeyBank Center on Monday, thus registering a winning record for the first time since January 2013. Jack Eichel (3 goals, 4 points this year), who was named the new captain of the team for the current season, netted the first two goals of the game, burying a one-timer during power play in the first period before scoring a back-hander at the start of the second. Marco Scandella (1 goal, 1 point) lit the lamp half a minute after Vegas got a goal back, while Jason Pominville (1 goal, 1 point) made it 4-1 midway through the second frame before the Golden Knights got their second strike in the following period. Kyle Okposo notched a couple of assists for his first two points of the season.

Goalie Carter Hutton stopped 35 shots with a save rate of 94.6% and has now gone 2-1-0 for the rolling year with a 2.06 GAA and a .943 save percentage. He has picked up a 5-1-0 career tally versus Colorado with a 2.24 GAA and a .925 save percentage, while Eichel has collected two snipes and four assists in five previous appearances against the Avalanche. The Sabres are currently scoring the 8th lowest amount of goals in 2018-19 (2.33), while giving up the 8th lowest quantity on the defensive end (2.33). They are 6th in power play with a 37.5% conversion rate (3-for-8) and 9th in penalty kill with 83.3% efficiency (5-for-6).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Sabres have truly impressed so far this season, with their new goalie Carter Hutton delivering solid protection at the back, so don’t be surprised to see Buffalo go on a shocking three-game winning run here. The Avalanche have normally done pretty well against the Sabres, winning 12 of their past 15 meetings, but have not been able to stamp their authority away from home lately, notching 52 defeats on their past 69 travels. Buffalo has been something of a giant killer lately, collecting eight triumphs in its past 11 fixtures versus sides with a winning percentage above the .600 mark, so it does look promising for the hosts here…

Prediction: Buffalo Sabres

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Although historically this series has been quite high-scoring, with goals going over the total in 10 of the past 13 occasions, the addition of Carter Hutton is a game-changer for the Sabres, who have finally gotten a goalie with an ability to keep pucks out of the net. The Avs have also gone under the total in seven of their past nine contests played after a defeat of three or more goals, so expect this one to stay withing five markers.

Prediction: Under 6

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Sabres have not taken the lead after the initial 20 minutes against Colorado for four straight games. They are, however, looking pretty good lately and have already scored a goal in the first period in each of their last two outings…

Prediction: Buffalo Sabres

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

The first period in the last two Buffalo games finished with a 1-0 Sabres lead, and that is quite a good bet for this fixture as well. Carter Hutton has been excellent in the crease for the hosts so far and should keep the Avs at bay…

Prediction: Under 1.5

Valdis Pans

Valdis got his first ever article published when he was 13, and has rarely stopped. He has worked for FHM, MTV Baltics and has done loads of freelance (from columns for Cosmopolitan magazine to helping with organization of Macy Gray’s shows in the Northern Europe). Speaks five different languages, loves pizza, American Horror Story and pipe organ music, and knows European soccer better than dates of his family members’ birthdays. Is an avid fan of ice-hockey too. He is a Latvian after all...

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