Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Edmonton Oilers vs. Winnipeg Jets
NHL: Sunday, October 20, Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg, Manitoba, 7:00 PM ET
Edmonton quickly responded to the first defeat of the season with a pair of victories over Philadelphia and Detroit at home. The Oilers are still at the top of the Western Conference with 14 points from eight games, which is the best record in the NHL.
Winnipeg, on the other hand, suffered three straight defeats in front of their fans, and now the Jets are hoping to return to the winning ways. They were on a three-game winning run before the current negative streak. The Jets are sitting in the 9th place in the West with eight points from nine games. Winnipeg won both H2H tilts last year, but Edmonton was better in both preseason duels.
The Oilers edged the Red Wings in a low-scoring affairEdmonton displayed the worst performance of the season in a 3-1 road defeat to the Chicago Blackhawks but bounced back with a couple of wins over Philadelphia and Detroit. James Neal continued his red-hot goal scoring form with another goal while Darnell Nurse recorded a couple of assists in a 2-1 victory over the Red Wings. Neal currently leads the NHL in goals (9), but the Oilers have two more players who are at the very top of the league in terms of points. Connor McDavid is in the first place with 17 (G5, A12) while Leon Draisaitl has 16 (G6, A10), and is in the 3rd position in points. Three of them will pose the biggest threat to Winnipeg’s goalie Connor Hellebuyck. The Oilers will be without defenseman Adam Larsson (back) and left-winger Joakim Nygard (ribs).
This season, Edmonton has the 5th offense in the NHL that averages 3.75 goals per contest, and they are facing Winnipeg’s 25th defense that allows 3.67 goals per game. The Oilers are the best team when it comes to powerplay conversion (41.07), while Winnipeg is the worst team in the NHL in penalty kill percentage (56.3%).
Mike Smith will start at the goal for the Lightning, and he is 3-1-0 as he faced 120 shots in the 2019-20 and allowed ten goals (2.51 per game) and recorded 110 saves (.917 SV %) without shutouts. Smith met Winnipeg once in the 2018-19 campaign and lost that game with 2.07 goals allowed and .905 SV%.
The Jets are desperate to bounce back and avoid the fourth loss in a rowWinnipeg is going through the worst period since the beginning of the new NHL season. The Jets suffered three consecutive defeats, all three at home, as they continued to struggle with inefficiency. Nikolaj Ehlers scored the only goal in a 3-1 loss to the New York Islanders, and even though that goal opened the scoring and Winnipeg outshot the visitors (33-26), the Jets lost once again. That was Ehlers’ eighth point of the campaign, while the Jets also have Mark Scheifele (G4, A8) and Patrik Laine (G3, A9), who are in the top 10 of the NHL at the moment. The hosts will be weakened in the defense as they are missing Dustin Byfuglien (suspension), Nathan Beaulieu (upper body), and Anthony Bitetto (lower body), while right-winger Bryan Little (concussion) is also out.
Winnipeg has the 17th offense in the NHL in 2019-20 that averages 2.89 goals per contest, and they are facing Edmonton’s 6th defense that allows 2.50 goals per game. The Jets are the 17th team when it comes to powerplay conversion (20.7%), while Edmonton is the 5th in penalty kill percentage (88.9%).
Connor Hellebuyck will start at the goal for the Jets, and he is 3-3-0 as he faced 198 shots in the 2019-20 and allowed 16 goals (2.70 per game) and recorded 182 saves (.919 SV %) without shutouts. Hellebuyck met Edmonton three times in the 2018-19 campaign and had a 2-0-1 record with 3.96 goals allowed and .859 SV%.
- 1-9 in their last ten home games
- 1-6 in their last seven games as a favorite
- 3-13 in their last 16 games as a home favorite
- 6-0 in their last six after scoring two goals or less in their previous game
- 4-0 in their last four games playing on one day of rest
- 4-0 in their last four when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game
- 5-1 in their last six games following a win
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Winnipeg is in a weak form at the moment, and they are particularly bad in front of their fans. Inefficiency is another problem for the Jets, who scored just five goals in the last three games and considering Edmonton’s top 10 defense, the hosts will struggle in this one as well. Winnipeg’s defense is among the weakest in the NHL, and it seems they cannot defend shorthanded situations. On the other hand, the Oilers are the best team in the league in powerplay situations and are currently the best team in the NHL overall. That’s why I am backing the visitors to get two points in this one.
Prediction: Edmonton Oilers (+115)
Full-Game Total Pick
Winnipeg is struggling to keep the opponents off their goal as they conceded 14 goals in the previous three games. I am backing the visitors to score at least four or five goals here, and given that seven of the last eight H2H duels produced over 6.5 goals, I am going with Over. Each of the previous five H2H contests at Bell MTS Place produced seven or more goals.
Prediction: Over 6.5 (+133)