Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Scotiabank Arena
When: Monday, October 21, 2019, 7:00 pm ET
We have Eastern Conference National Hockey League action to consider for Monday night when the Columbus Blue Jackets of the Metropolitan Division square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs of the Atlantic Division. Columbus is 3-3-2 and the Maple Leafs are 5-3-1 this season and defeated Columbus by a score of 4-1 in the first of three scheduled meetings this season.
Columbus Two Game Losing StreakColumbus has lost three of its last five games and has dropped two consecutive games in which they scored only four goals and that is just under its already below average 2.25 goals per game. The worst part is their losses came to bad teams like the New York Islanders and Chicago Blackhawks and its never a good sign when a team can’t seem to beat teams that they should beat.
The Korpisalo name is well-known in Finland thanks to the on-ice talents of Jari Korpisalo. But his son, Joonas, is making a name for himself in North America thanks to his work as the #CBJ goalie. https://t.co/k8TWTn3cTK— Jeff Svoboda (@JacketsInsider) October 20, 2019
The Blue Jackets have trouble scoring goals and a big reason for this is their miserable 13 percent success rate. The penalty kill unit isn’t much better and they boast a 73.9 percent success rate this season.
Joonas Korpisalo is the Blue Jackets probable starting goaltender and he’s been decent with a 3-2-1 record and a solid 2.66 GAA over his six starts this season. Corsica Hockey is very fond of Korpisalo and his 93.77 xSV% and even more so of his 1.6 GSAA. It’s too bad his blueline is still a work in progress otherwise more folks would take notice of him and his solid goaltending.
Tavares Out with Broken FingerTampa Bay has won three of it’s last five and still trying to figure out life without John Tavares, who is out for at least the next two weeks with a broken finger. They miss him on the power play, and they miss his seven points on three goals and four assists. Mitch Marner leads Toronto with 11 points, Austin Matthews has a club-high seven goals and Morgan Reilly leads the Maple Leafs with nine assists this season.
The Maple Leafs 26.9 percent power-play success rate is seventh in the National Hockey League and they boast an average penalty kill success rate of 79.3 percent.
Frederick Anderson is the Maple Leafs probable starting goaltender and he’s posted a 5-2-0 record and 3.09 GAA this season. He’s won three consecutive starts including a Saturday night overtime victory over the Boston Bruins. Corsica Hockey isn’t a fan of Anderson or his 92.26 xSV% nor his -5.08 GSAA. Anderson is very lucky he plays on a team that scores enough goals to make up for his deficiencies tending the twine.
- Maple Leafs are 55-27 in their last 82 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Blue Jackets are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Atlantic.
- Blue Jackets are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Toronto is a huge favorite but with Anderson in the net, it isn't a wise idea to play the puck line. Toronto will win this game on the strength of its power play and they know they have to score because Anderson can't stop a train if he were the conductor. Columbus may eventually become a good team but they don't do enough to support Korpisalo and that will be the difference in this matchup.
I will play Toronto to win this game.
Full-Game Total Pick
When I did the math, I came up with the Maple Leafs winning by a score of 4-3. That to me seems about right. The Leafs have a dynamite power play but Columbus is one of the more disciplined teams in the NHL so they will likely get maybe two power-play chances and that is all they will need. Anderson will surely allow three goals and that will get us the over in this matchup.
I will play the over in this game.