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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville Predators
NHL: Tuesday, March 19, 2019 at 8:00 PM EST
The Maples Leafs have lost three of their last four games and they were embarrassed in their last game losing 6-2. While they have the 3rd most points in the Eastern Conference they are bunched with a few other teams and they could use a strong finish to at least, host a first-round playoff series. Toronto is the 2nd highest scoring team in the league and while their D ranks in the middle of the pack in terms of goals allowed they have allowed 23 goals in their last four games.
The Predators have won two in a row and four of their last six games. They are in the same boat as the Maple Leafs, as Nashville is in the 4th spot in the Western Conference and a good finish would assure them on home ice in the first playoff series. The Preds are led by a defense that ranks 5th in the league in goals allowed and after giving up eight goals in two losses they have only given up three goals in their last two games.
— Nashville Predators (@PredsNHL) March 17, 2019
The Maples Leafs are not only 4-1 in their last five games facing the Predators, but also 4-1 in their last five games facing them in Nashville.
Defense takes a licking
In their last game, the Maples Leafs were on the road and had a bad defensive effort in a 6-2 loss to the Ottawa Senators. They had seven fewer shots in the game (44-37) and while they were crushed they did kill all four of Ottawa’s power-play chances. John Tavares had a goal and an assist in the loss and Morgan Rielly netted the other goal for Toronto. Garret Sparks (7-7-1 3.24 GAA) took the loss giving up six goals on the 44 shots and he had only given up three goals in his previous two appearances. However, both of those appearances were in relief and in his last start before the loss to Ottawa he gave up six goals in that game as well.
#1 G Frederik Andersen (34-14-4 2.75 GAA) may get the call in this game and he has been struggling giving up six goals in his last start and in his two previous ones was yanked in each giving up four goals. Tavares leads the team in goals and he has three goals and three assists in his last five games. On the season, the Maple Leafs are 21-10-4 on the road.
Solid 3rd does the trick
The Predators were on the road in their last game beating the San Jose Sharks 4-2 where they outscored them 2-0 in the 3rd period. Filip Forsberg broke the 2-2 tie with nearly 13 minutes left in the 3rd period and the Preds tacked on a late empty-net goal in a game they outshot the Sharks 30-26. Viktor Arvidsson hjad two goals in the game for Nashville including the empty-netter and Juuse Saros (16-9-2 1.62 GAA) got the win and has given up two or fewer goals in three of his last four starts. #1 G Pekka Rinne (25-18-3 2.51 GAA) may go in this game and after three fairly rough outings, he was legit in his last start only giving up one goal in a win.
Arvidsson leads the club in goals and he has played well as of late netting four goals and notching two assists in his last five games. This season, Nashville is 22-13-1 at home.
The Nashville Predators are:
- 36-15 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
- 2-5 in their last 7 road games
- 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Central
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Have to go with the Predators in this one and while the Maple Leafs have been a solid road team on the season they have lost five of their last seven road games. Hoping with Nashville, as the Leafs have been bleeding goals as of late, as their defense has been plain bad. The Preds will take advantage of that and add a good game on D and you get a Nashville win.
Prediction: PICK: Predators
Full-Game Total Pick
Not a tough call to take the Over in this game, as in Toronto’s last four games they have not given up less than five goals in any of them. On top of that they gave up six goals in three of those games. Toronto has an Over record in their last four games and an Over record of 4-0 as well in their last four games facing a team with a winning record. Both of those trends will continue, as the Leafs’ D will struggle again and the total for this non-conference matchup will go Under.
Prediction: PICK: Over