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Toronto vs. Boston Prediction,
and Odds - 4-23-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#9 Toronto
Maple Leafs 5.5
#10 Boston
Bruins -140

Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 7:08pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs

49 - 39


Boston Bruins

52 - 36


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins

Where: TD Garden, Boston Massachusetts

When: Tuesday, April 23, 2019, 7:00 pm Eastern

The Maple Leafs and Bruins have played six exceptional games in this best of seven series and us fans get a real treat on Tuesday night when these two hockey clubs meet in game seven at TD Garden. This one is for all the marbles and in goal for Toronto will likely be Frederik Anderson and Boston plans on countering with Tuukka Rask patrolling the cage. I’m the Flash and looking forward to presenting this preview for your consideration.

Toronto Has Two Wins in TD Garden

After 82 regular season games and six, hard-fought playoff games with Boston, it’s all come down to a do or die matchup on the road against the Bruins in TD Garden. Toronto has already won two games in this building and has a better playoff record inside TD Garden during these playoffs than in their own. The Leafs will be playing their 24th game seven in franchise history and are 12-11 as a franchise in game seven’s.

Nazem Kadri has been suspended for the rest of this series for a cross-check. Kadri has a goal and a helper with +/- plus one this series. Kadri is the only player Toronto is listing on their injury report for game seven.

During this series, Toronto has allowed seven shorthanded goals on 16 tries for a 56.3 percent success rate, well below their season average of 78 percent success on the penalty kill. The power play unit has a 21 percent success rate during this series and that was the same as their top-ten power play unit achieved during the regular season.

For Toronto, this has been the Auston Matthews show. The second-year center leads the Maple Leafs with five goals, one assists and +/- zero. Defenseman Morgan Rielly has five points on one goal and four assists with +/- plus two and left winger Andreas Johnsson has four points on three helpers and one goal with +/- minus one.

Anderson is 3-3 this series with 2.70 goals against average and 92 percent save percentage during this series. Two of those wins were in TD Garden and that was much better than his 0-1 mark in Boston this season.

Boston Forces Game Seven

Game seven is familiar territory for the Boston Bruins as they have played the most games sevens (26) as a franchise in NHL history and boast a 14-12 game seven record. Boston is just 1-2 at TD Garden in this series which doesn’t resemble the Bruins that went 29-9-3 home record they enjoyed this season. It’s do or die time and where better than in a building they have had much success in this season.

Boston isn’t listing any significant injuries for Tuesday night against Toronto.

The Bruins special teams has outplayed the Leafs special teams and that has been the difference in this series. Boston has seven power-play goals on 16 opportunities for a 43.8 percent success rate and allowed three shorthanded goals on 14 attempts for a 79 percent success rate. The power play success exceeded the Bruins third place regular season 26 percent success rate and the penalty kill unit is about the same as Boston’s 80 percent penalty kill success rate during the regular season.

Brad Marchand has been the best offensive player on the ice this series, with four goals and five assists with +/- plus three. David Pastrnak has a pair of goals and four helpers with +/- zero and Patrice Bergeron has two tallies and a pair of assists with +/- plus one to lead Boston during this series with Toronto.

Rask has played each game in this series and has 2.54 goals against average and 92 percent save percentage for a 3-3 record during these playoffs. Rask has lost two of the three games at TD Garden and had a 15-6-2 record at home this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This has been a road team series and now it’s down to one game for each team to advance to the next round. That team is going to be Toronto and that is going to begin and end with the special teams. Toronto has to prevent shorthanded goals and if they can do this on Tuesday night, then I think they will.

Toronto has been awful cozy in TD Garden, and I see that side playing like the 23-12-6 road team they were during the regular season. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful for Tuesday night’

  • Road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the Maple Leafs on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Toronto +120

Full-Game Total Pick

We have two veteran goaltenders playing a game seven. We also have several vets on both sides who know how to play playoff hockey and that means we’re going to see a hard hitting, low scoring, chippy affair on Tuesday night. There is no other way to see this game either. I saw the following trends I think might be helpful for Tuesday.

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the under on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Under 5.5 Goals

Phil Naessens

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