Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, August 14

The 2025 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have already been hit this season and we’re ready to pick more winners in 2025! Free home run prop picks each day come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

We cashed our home run prop pick yesterday with Juan Soto at +250 odds! Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets again on Thursday! You can find free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, August 14!

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

Riley Greene (DET) +320

There’s no doubt about it that Riley Greene has struggled mightily since the all-star break hitting just .209 while slugging .363 as the Tigers and Twins start up a series in Minnesota tonight.

Although Greene has struggled since the all-star break, he’s actually gotten it together over the last week or so batting .333 and slugging .619 over the past seven days.

He’s 5-16 with a home run off Twins starter Bailey Ober who has allowed 12 of his 23 total home runs at home this season.

Although Ober didn’t allow a home run in his last start he did allow four home runs to the Tigers in a start back on June 28 before his injury occurred including one to Greene.

Ober has struggled giving up home runs to left handed batters in general this season with 14 of his 23 home runs given up to lefties while allowing a .502 slugging percentage as well.

Let’s look at Greene to keep building on his positive momentum tonight taking his home run prop at +320 odds.

Other Tigers to take advantage of for a home run prop includes Kerry Carpenter (+255) and Spencer Torkelson (+360).

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Ketel Marte (ARI) +290

The Diamondbacks and Rockies start up a four game series in Colorado tonight with righty Bradley Blalock taking the mound for the home team.

We’re going to take Ketel Marte to hit his home run prop tonight who has hit a home run in two straight games.

Marte has 23 home runs on the season and it’ll likely be tough to match his career high of 36 home runs in a year he did in 2024, but as good as he is at home he’s even better on the road.

Marte hits .329 while posting a .636 slugging percentage on the road compared to a .261 average and .471 slugging percentage he posts at home on the season. At Coors Field this season Marte has been fantastic going 7-11 with four doubles and a home run.

He’s 2-4 with a double against Blalock all-time with the Rockies starter posting an 11.76 ERA at home in 20.2 innings pitched while allowing a .347 average and .564 slugging percentage to left handed batters on the season in which Marte will look to take advantage of being a switch hitter.

Take Marte to hit his home run prop at +290 odds. Other Diamondbacks to look at for a home run prop include Corbin Carroll (+210) and Lourdes Gurriel (+420).

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