Best First Touchdown Props Picks NFL Week 13

Best NFL First Touchdown Props Predictions for Week 13!

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NFL Week 13 First Touchdown Props Prediction: De’Von Achane Miami Dolphins (+375)

Only one player has more first touchdowns (Kyren Williams 4) than De’Von Achane who sits in a 9-player log jam for 2nd most with three so far in 2025.

Achane also finished tied for 5th for most first touchdowns with four during the 2024 campaign. The Dolphins running back leads the team in red zone touches (33) and red zone target share at 19.6%.

The New Orleans Saints have the LEAST first touchdowns in the NFL with only 1 in 11 games (.09%) compared to Miami who ranks above average with 6 first touchdowns in 11 games (54.5%).

The Saints have the WORST adjusted completion rate to opposing running backs (90.6%) and Achane has been elite amongst running backs in scoring through the air.

The Fins are coming off back-to-back wins for the first time this season and they enter this contest favored by -5.5-points at home.

Miami is also coming off their bye, so they have had two weeks to script an early drive against a weak Saints team and Achane is their favorite red area option.

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NFL Week 13 First Touchdown Props Prediction: Keenan Allen LA Chargers (+1000)

Keenan Allen is on a month-long scoring drought, but he leads the Los Angeles Chargers in first touchdowns (2), red zone touchdowns (4) and red zone targets (13) on the season.

Now he faces a friendly matchup as a double-digit home favorite against a Las Vegas Raiders team that has allowed 14 first half receiving touchdowns during the 2025 campaign.

The Chargers have gotten off to sluggish starts in early east coast kickoffs (0-4 1st TD), but they have struck first 6 of the 7 other games while only trailing against potent Indianapolis Colts team.

The Bolts should be anxious to get on the board early as they should have a sour taste in their mouths after an embarrassing 35-6 loss on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 11.

Allen should draw the easier matchup against Raiders corner Eric Stokes and he will be the Chargers go-to guy if they end up in the red area after a scripted drive as heavy home favorites.

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