Premier League Expert Picks And Predictions For Dec 30

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WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League picks today heading into Dec 30 – Jan 1 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Manchester United vs Wolves, Sunderland vs Manchester City and more.

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Burnley vs Newcastle | December 30 | 2:30 PM ET

Burnley +460 | Newcastle -170 | Draw +320

Newcastle’s mini revival took another stumble last weekend as they were downed 1-0 by Manchester United on the road.

That leaves the Magpies with just one win across their last five games in all, a record that has them 14th in the table overall, and almost 20 points off front-runners Arsenal in 1st.

Burnley, meanwhile, ground out yet another point against Everton on the weekend, with the Clarets arguably unlucky not to come out with the full win given Burnley owned almost twice the xG of Everton in that game, and cracked the ball off the bar near the end also.

Newcastle need to start putting results together if they’re going to pull themselves up into the European spots by the end of the season, and travelling to a Burnley side they’ve beaten on seven successive occasions could be the answer to those problems. However, with a host of defenders out, it’s nevertheless likely going to be a tough time for the Magpies in this one, especially playing away from home.

That said, with Burnley captain Josh Cullen getting injured against Everton last week, as well as the Clarets having failed to win a game in over two months also, it’s simply got to be Newcastle or pass for us on Tuesday.

Premier League Predictions: Newcastle ML (-170)

Manchester United vs Wolves | December 30 | 3:15 PM ET

Manchester United -300 | Wolves +800 | Draw +440

Manchester United secured only their second clean sheet of the campaign last week as they came away with a 1-0 home win against Newcastle.

While the Magpies did enjoy some solid periods of dominance in that game, Patrick Dorgu’s first-half strike was enough to separate the two teams and hand Manchester United a much-needed three points, especially with their absentee list continuing to grow.

Wolves, meanwhile, suffered yet another defeat against Liverpool last week, their 16th of the season so far, and it’s been a mixture of putting in heroic performances in close losses, such as against Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Liverpool, combined with games where they’ve looked completely flat, such as their performances against Crystal Palace and Brentford, games they really should have done better in given the favorable situations offered.

One of Wolves’ many problems this season has been an offense that has been almost non-existent at times, failing to score in a league-high 56% of all their games this season, a figure that rises to 67% when playing away from home.

Given the number of absences Manchester United manager Ruben Amorim has had to deal with of late, it appears the Portuguese boss has switched away from his tried and tested back-three system, a system that has garnered a lot of criticism over the last two seasons, and opted for a more stable four at the back instead, a switch that paid off for him against Newcastle last week, and something he’ll likely look to choose once again ahead of this one.

Wolves allowed four goals to Manchester United in their previous game back at the start of the month, but all of those goals came via Bruno Fernandes, Bryan Mbeumo, and Mason Mount, players already confirmed out, or very likely out, ahead of Tuesday’s matchup. We don’t, therefore, envision the scoreboard being ran up for a second straight time here, especially with Wolves’ offering very little attacking threat at the other end.

Take the Under on Tuesday between Wolves and Manchester United at Old Trafford.

Premier League Predictions: Under 3 (-110)

Sunderland vs Manchester City | January 1 | 3:00 PM ET

Sunderland +650 | Manchester City -270 | Draw +360

There have been two teams that have continued to dominate the form table across the last two months, Aston Villa and Manchester City, with the latter coming out with a solid 2-1 road win against Nottingham Forest last week, the first time the Cityzens had conceded a goal in four games.

Offensively, though, Manchester City have been nigh on impossible to stop, scoring 26 goals (2.89 GF/G) since November 1st, by far the highest scoring frequency in the league across that timespan.

Sunderland, meanwhile, managed to grind out yet another draw against Leeds last week, an impressive feat considering many of the Black Cats’ top players are currently away on international duty in the African Cup of Nations.

Sunderland’s defense continues to remain strong, however, owning an impressive 33% clean sheet percentage on the season so far, one of the league’s better overall percentages (joint-6th), along with the Black Cats ranking top-three, behind only Arsenal and Manchester City, in goals allowed this season, conceding just 1.00 GA/G per game on average.

These two teams have owned two of the standout defenses of the season so far, and even with City’s recent electric scoring run, this total is set a quarter-goal too high for us on Thursday.

Premier League Prediction: Under 3 (-120)

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