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Syracuse vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds (Week 11): Best Bets for Spread and Total

Mario Cristobal preps for College Football Week 8 game

The Miami Hurricanes return home looking to get back on track as they host the Syracuse Orange in Week 11 of the college football season. Miami enters this game as a massive 29-point favorite with a total set at 46.5 according to the official Week 11 lines. Despite that big spread, the recent trends and team form suggest this one could be much closer than expected.

This matchup is a contrast of styles and confidence. Syracuse, under head coach Fran Brown, has battled through adversity and remains a gritty underdog. Miami, on the other hand, is fighting to salvage its season after two losses in the last three weeks. Let’s break down this Syracuse vs Miami prediction and identify the best bets for the spread and total.

Syracuse vs Miami Betting Odds

Syracuse Orange Analysis

Syracuse upset Miami last season as a 12-point home underdog, and the Orange will once again look to play spoiler. It’s been a challenging campaign after losing starting quarterback Steve Angeli to injury, but head coach Fran Brown has kept this team competitive through discipline and effort. Syracuse has shown heart in every game and continues to play hard on both sides of the ball despite limited depth.

The Orange defense has been a stabilizing force, and with Miami’s recent scoring struggles, that could once again make this contest tighter than expected. Syracuse’s ability to slow the game down, control possession, and avoid turnovers will be key to covering this large number on the road.

Miami Hurricanes Analysis

Miami’s season has taken a downward turn with two losses in the last three games, effectively ending any hopes of a College Football Playoff push. The Hurricanes’ offense has sputtered, averaging just 27.4 points per game over their last five contests:contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0}. Quarterback Carson Beck struggled in last week’s loss to SMU, throwing two interceptions, and his confidence looks shaky heading into this matchup.

Defensively, the Hurricanes remain solid, but four of their last five games have stayed under the total:contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}. Miami’s inconsistent offensive execution makes laying nearly four touchdowns a risky proposition, even at home.

Matchup Breakdown

This matchup comes down to whether Miami can generate enough offense to separate from a determined underdog. Syracuse’s injury issues are significant, but motivation and effort haven’t been a problem. Miami’s defense should limit explosive plays, but their own offensive inconsistency opens the door for another underdog cover.

Given Miami’s scoring dip and Syracuse’s defensive effort, the under also presents solid value. Both teams have trended that way recently, and neither offense has shown much explosiveness in the second half of the season.

Syracuse vs Miami Prediction

Pick: Syracuse +29 ★★★ (3-Star Confidence)

Syracuse’s toughness and Miami’s recent offensive woes make this an attractive spot for the road underdog. The Hurricanes have only averaged around four touchdowns per game recently, making a near 30-point spread too steep to trust. Expect the Orange to hang around and keep this closer than the oddsmakers predict.

Total: Under 46.5 ★★ (2-Star Confidence)

With four of Miami’s last five games staying under the total and Syracuse leaning on its defense to stay competitive, this matchup projects to fall short of the posted number. Expect a lower-scoring game with both teams emphasizing ball control.

Projected Score

Miami 31 – Syracuse 10

Best Bets Summary

Bet TypeSelectionConfidenceReasoning
SpreadSyracuse +29★★★Miami’s offense struggling to cover large spreads; Syracuse plays hard for Fran Brown
TotalUnder 46.5★★Both teams trending under; Hurricanes’ last five games average just 27.4 points per game
🚨 CFB Week 11 Upset Alerts – Don’t Bet Until You See This! | Bet On It
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