Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, August 21
The 2025 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have already been hit this season and we’re ready to pick more winners in 2025! Free home run prop picks each day come at you compliments of WagerTalk.
We cashed our home run prop pick of Tyler Soderstrom at +350 yesterday! Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets on Thursday! You can find free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, August 21!
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) +430
Of Bobby Witt Jr.’s 18 home runs this season, zero have come against left handed pitchers, but we think that has a chance to change today as the Rangers and Royals play their series finale in Kansas City.
Witt Jr. is in the midst of possibly his best hitting month of the season now batting .333 in August to go along with a .556 slugging percentage.
He and the Royals get lefty Patrick Corbin who has been poor in day game starts this season sporting a 7.25 ERA and allowing four home runs in 22.1 innings pitched.
He has allowed 11 of his 17 total home runs on the road and has compiled a 12.10 ERA across his last three starts.
Although Witt Jr. doesn’t have a home run against lefties this season, he’s still batting .316 and on the season against Texas he’s batting .455 to go along with an .864 slugging percentage.
Witt Jr. is on a current nine-game hitting streak and is 5-9 with a home run all-time against Corbin so let’s take him to hit his home run prop today at +430.
Other Royals to look for a home run prop includes Salvador Perez (+420) and if you want a long shot consider Jonathan India (+830) who is 6-16 with a home run against Corbin all-time.
MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Cody Bellinger (NYY) +520
Cody Bellinger and the Yankees return home to host their arch rival in the Red Sox who send Lucas Giolito to the mound.
Giolito has been solid this season but has still allowed 10 of his 15 total home runs on the road in 57 innings pitched.
He has allowed a .430 slugging percentage to lefties compared to a .387 slugging percentage allowed to righties on the season as well with Bellinger blasting two home runs in the Yankees 13-3 win at Tampa Bay two nights ago.
Now the Yankees return home where Bellinger has hit 16 of his 24 home runs while posting a .571 slugging percentage compared to a .420 slugging percentage on the road.
Oddly enough, Giolito and Bellinger have never crossed paths in their careers with Bellinger hitting two home runs in his last three home games.
Take Bellinger to hit his home run prop tonight with odds listed at +520 with other Yankees to consider for a home run prop includes Aaron Judge (+210) and Trent Grisham (+420).
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