Free Premier League Picks Today for October 17-18 – Matchday 8 Schedule and Predictions

Get Free Premier League Predictions for 2025 Matchday 8!

WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League picks today heading into Matchday 8. He gives betting previews for key matches including Tottenham vs Aston Villa, Liverpool vs Manchester United and more.

What are his Premier League best bets heading into this weekend? Find out below!

Brighton vs Newcastle | October 17 | 10:00 AM ET

Brighton +165 | Newcastle +160 | Draw +240

Both teams level on points after seven games, yet it’s arguably Newcastle who have looked the stronger of the two teams up to this point.

Despite an excellent win over Chelsea a few weeks ago, the Seagulls underlying numbers, especially defensively, have looked far from healthy this season, ranking bottom-half in the league in both goals allowed and defensive xGA.

Going back to last season and Brighton have registered just one clean sheet across any of their last nineteen Premier League games, which is not the sort of record that inspires any sort of confidence in backing them facing an underrated Newcastle side this Saturday.

The Magpies now sit first in the league in both defensive xGA, and goals allowed since September 1st, as their defense has continued to shine, with Arsenal the only team managing to breach their defensive lines across any of their last four Premier League matchups.

We’re expecting that greater defensive edge to prove key in this one, and recommend a play on Newcastle to cover on the road against Brighton this weekend.

Premier League Predictions: Newcastle +0 [PK] (-106)

Tottenham vs Aston Villa | October 18 | 9:00 AM ET

Tottenham +105 | Aston Villa +230 | Draw +250

A recent four-match winning streak finally has some confidence creeping back into the Villa locker room after a disastrous start to the season, sitting second-from-bottom in the league for the majority of their campaign so far, they’ll need to be at their very best once again in this one if they’re going to overcome a Tottenham side that have massively overperformed to start the year.

Under new boss Thomas Frank, Spurs currently sit just two points off the top, but will know they can ill afford to relax ahead of this one after coming off two disappointing draws across two of their last three Premier League starts.

Villa’s recent road form, however, will give Tottenham some room for optimism, as the Villains have been really poor away from home this season, going winless across their domestic campaign so far, and coming out with two scoring blanks in three of their Premier League road games to date.

Tottenham’s defense this season has massively improved under Frank, sitting only behind Arsenal in terms of the number of goals allowed, with only Manchester City giving up fewer counter-attacking and set-piece goals than Tottenham also.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, have largely unimpressed, ranking 5th from bottom in both offensive xG and expected points this season, and they could continue to struggle here against an in-form Spurs team down in London on Sunday.

Premier League Predictions: Tottenham ML (+116)

Liverpool vs Manchester United | October 18 | 11:30 AM ET

Liverpool -175 | Manchester United +410 | Draw +320

One of the biggest games on the English calendar kicks off this Sunday as Manchester United make the short trip west to take on champions Liverpool this weekend.

Manchester United are actually the ones coming into this game in the better form of the two overall, alternating wins and losses across each of their last six games, and scoring at least two goals in both of their last two wins also.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have looked in dire form after opening the season brightly, losing three straight games across all competitions, as well as giving up multiple goals in two of those losses also.

In terms of data, no team has been more offensively-minded than Manchester United have this season, with the Red Devils ranking #1 in the league in total shots per game and total xG accumulated also.

Liverpool, meanwhile, rank 3rd in total shots generated, with only Manchester City registering more goals from open play than the Reds also.

Both teams have however shown themselves to be defensively vulnerable recently, with United sitting 4th-from-bottom in defensive xGA this season, while Liverpool own the joint-4th worst goals allowed numbers since mid-September.

Each of the last five meetings between the two sides have seen at least three goals being scored, with a much higher average of 3.6 GPG across that span, and we expect that high goal frequency to continue here on Sunday as Manchester United and Liverpool go Over the total.

Premier League Prediction: Over 3 (-140)

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