Free Premier League Picks Today for October 4-5 – Matchday 7 Schedule and Predictions
Get Free Premier League Predictions for 2025 Matchday 7!
WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League picks today heading into Matchday 7. He gives betting previews for key matches including Arsenal vs West Ham, Brentford vs Manchester City and more.
What are his Premier League best bets heading into this weekend? Find out below!
Arsenal vs West Ham | October 4 | 10:00 AM ET
Arsenal -600 | West Ham +1100 | Draw +550
Nuno Espirito Santo’s first game in charge of the Hammers was, for all intents and purposes, a resounding success given West Ham’s woeful record under former manager Graham Potter to start the season.
Despite not managing to beat Everton last week, West Ham looked like a much improved outfit under their new Portuguese boss, with season-high levels registered in shots, penalty area entries, and touches within the opposition’s box.
Arsenal, meanwhile, secured an impressive 2-1 win away to Newcastle last week, a Newcastle team that has started to find its feet after an early season slump.
The Gunners dominated that game on the stat counter however, registering far more shots and xG than the home side managed, yet Arsenal still needed two late goals to get over the line in that game.
Nick Woltemade’s opening header for Newcastle last week was only the third goal Arsenal have conceded all season, with the Gunners ranking #1 in both defensive xGA and xPTS this year also, incredibly sitting as the only team yet to give up a single goal from open play.
West Ham have won both of their last two meetings against Arsenal at this ground, and with Nuno Espirito Santo’s bright start to the club, there are reasons for Hammers fans to be optimistic once again.
That said, Arsenal’s stats remain extremely impressive this season, and even with some potentially short rest from a midweek European game, we’re expecting the Gunners to win and cover this line against their East London rivals on Saturday.
Premier League Predictions: Arsenal -1.75 (-120)
Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest | October 5 | 9:00 AM ET
Newcastle -175 | Nottingham Forest +430 | Draw +290
Since losing manager Nuno Espirito Santo early last month, Nottingham Forest look a long way off the pace from their stellar form of last season.
For most of last year, up to around April, the Tricky Trees occupied a top-three place in the table in what was a pretty incredible season overall from both the Forest players and their Portuguese boss.
Even faltering slightly with about six weeks to go still earned them the right to compete in Europe for this season, with their matchup against FC Midtjylland at the City Ground on Thursday night representing a return to days of old for the two-time European champions.
That said, Nottingham Forest’s league form this year has been poor, barely sitting outside the relegation zone currently after six games played, with their defense registering the second-highest opponent xG in the league also.
Newcastle, meanwhile, have started to right the ship after a poor start of their own, and were somewhat unfortunate to get downed by two late goals from Arsenal last week, a result that would have seen them go four games unbeaten in the league.
The Magpies showed that uptick in performance in a 4-0 demolition of Union Saint-Gilloise on Wednesday night in the Champions League, and sit second, only behind Arsenal, in terms of their own defensive xGA numbers this season.
We’re expecting Newcastle to get the home win and cover on Sunday against Nottingham Forest.
Premier League Predictions: Newcastle -0.75 (-115)
Brentford vs Manchester City | October 5 | 11:30 AM ET
Brentford +380 | Manchester City -170 | Draw +320
After getting dropped by both Tottenham and Brighton to start the season, things didn’t look good for former champions Manchester City, a team that pretty much ran a dynasty in the Premier League across much of the last decade.
However, the Cityzens have managed to turn things around across recent games, destroying cross-town rivals Manchester United and newly-promoted Burnley by 3-0 and 5-1 scorelines respectively, and they were unlucky to concede late on in injury time against Arsenal to avoid taking all three points in that one also.
A large part of that recent turnaround for City is that they own the best defensive xGA record in the league since September 16th, and have allowed no set-piece or counter-attacking goals so far this season either.
Brentford, meanwhile, have gone through a bit of a transition period, with former set-piece coach Keith Andrews stepping up to a full managerial role after former head coach Thomas Frank went to Tottenham.
This has led to some rather erratic performances from the Bees this season, although they did look good in dispatching Manchester United 3-1 last week in what was an early barrage.
Brentford have been much tighter at home this season defensively, allowing just three goals to opponents on their home turf compared with eight goals when travelling away from home, with the Bees managing to shut Manchester City out completely in their 2023 clash here.
We’re expecting a tighter than expected game on Sunday, and like the value on the Under between two better than advertised defensive teams.
Premier League Prediction: Under 3 (-110)
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