Premier League Expert Picks And Predictions For December 2-4 Matches

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WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League picks today heading into December 2-4. He gives betting previews for key matches including Newcastle vs Tottenham, Manchester United vs West Ham and more.

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Newcastle vs Tottenham | December 2 | 3:15 PM ET

Newcastle -140 | Tottenham +360 | Draw +300

After registering their third loss in as many games, as well as getting into an argument with fans about their treatment of goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario last weekend also, it’s no surprise to see former Brentford favorite, Thomas Frank, get cut into the second-favorite in the betting market to go next as the pressure continues to mount in North London.

A long trip up to the north-east may therefore be just what the doctor ordered for Frank’s men on Tuesday night as they take on Newcastle at St. James’ Park.

Newcastle, for their part, have won six straight games at home heading into Tuesday’s matchup, as they continue their march up the table after an early-season slump.

However, despite the form book clearly being on one side here, Tottenham shouldn’t be underestimated ahead of this one, as while they’ve been woeful at home, they’ve been incredibly dangerous on the road.

While Spurs rank second-from-bottom in home form this season, only marginally ahead of Wolves, on the road, it’s been a much different story, with Tottenham ranking joint-second in the league overall, right alongside Chelsea, suffering just one defeat all season to league leaders Arsenal.

This is a big line for Newcastle to cover here on Tuesday, and despite their impressive recent form, and Tottenham continuing to underperform of late, this line is set a quarter-goal too high in our opinion.

Premier League Predictions: Tottenham +0.75 (-110)

Burnley vs Crystal Palace | December 3 | 2:30 PM ET

Burnley +350 | Crystal Palace -130 | Draw +285

It’s been a tough stretch for Burnley across the last few weeks, and with the Clarets approaching the halfway point of the season, they’ll know they’ll need to find a way to try and gain some momentum if they’re going to avoid relegation this season.

The big concern for Burnley continues to be a defense that has allowed 10 goals across their last four games, with only Leeds and Bournemouth allowing more goals since November 1st than Burnley has.

However, Leeds and Bournemouth have shown they can score at the other end, while Burnley has struggled in that department, ranking second-last in the league in scoring across that same period. 

Instead of trying to engage in a shootout, therefore, as they did against Wolves a few weeks ago, it might be more prudent for manager Scott Parker to try to find a way to bolster his defense so they can turn Turf Moor into a bit of a fortress, as they managed under Sean Dyche previously.

Facing him is a Crystal Palace side that own a highly-impressive W10, D6, L1 record against newly-promoted sides across the last few seasons, as well as beating Burnley by clear 2+ goal margins in three of their last five visits to Turf Moor, so the Eagles will no doubt be confident of adding to that record ahead of this one.

That said, only Arsenal owns a better defensive record than Crystal Palace does this season in terms of goals allowed away from home, averaging just 0.75 GA/G on average. Because of that, likely the best way in here is to take the Crystal Palace to win to nil prop, or the outright Under, with either of those being the way we’d play this one on Wednesday.

Premier League Predictions: Under 2.5 (-122)

Manchester United vs West Ham | December 4 | 3:00 PM ET

Manchester United -230 | West Ham +555 | Draw +410

In what could very well have been dubbed as a must-win game for Manchester United last weekend, especially after a winless run of three straight games in the league, the Red Devils delivered against Crystal Palace, coming back from a half-time deficit to take the lead and the win by full-time.

United will look to continue that momentum here on Thursday against West Ham as another win would likely put them inside the top-six, yet Ruben Amorim’s men will also know the dangers of overconfidence, wanting to avoid a repeat of their last home performance against Everton.

West Ham, meanwhile, after what appeared to be a mini revival, have again gone winless in two straight games, allowing multiple goals in both of those encounters also.

The Hammers major weakness this season has come from set-piece situations, with no team in the league allowing more goals from set-pieces than West Ham have.

The good news for the Hammers however is that United haven’t been particularly dangerous in that area at home this season, scoring just two set-piece goals all year at home.

Where United have been strong however is in defense, ranking joint-eighth in the league in goals allowed at home, and fourth in defensive xGA also.

Take Under 3.25 goals on Thursday in the final match of the Week 14 card.

Premier League Prediction: Under 3.25 (-125)

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