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Last updated Dec 8, 9:01 PM EST
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (603) Villanova at (604) Michigan | 6:30pm EST - Dec 9/2025 |
The PLAY: Villanova +16.0 (-110)
No. 2 Michigan (8-0) enters as one of the hottest teams in the country, fresh off blowout wins including 102-72 over No. 20 Auburn, 101-61 over No. 11 Gonzaga, and 101-60 over Rutgers. The Wolverines rank No. 1 in KenPom, boast the nation's top defense, and are averaging a staggering 94.6 points per game while shooting over 52% from the field and dominating the glass (2nd nationally in rebounds per game).
Villanova (7-1) has quietly put together a seven game win streak after a narrow season opening loss to BYU, most recently claiming the Big 5 Classic with a 90-63 rout of Penn. The Wildcats sit around No. 35 in KenPom and bring a disciplined, ball sharing offense (83.0 PPG) with strong perimeter shooting (around 38% from three this season) and excellent half court execution.
The current spread sits at Michigan -15.5, which feels inflated given the matchup dynamics. Villanova's defense rarely fouls—one of the lowest opponent free-throw rates in the country—forcing teams to earn points in the half court rather than at the line. Michigan thrives on efficient scoring and transition, but against a patient, low mistake Wildcats team that moves the ball beautifully and shoots the three well, the Wolverines may face a grind it out game rather than another track meet.
KenPom projects around a 15-point Michigan win, but personal models see this staying closer. Michigan's recent dominance has come against overmatched or weaker defenses; regression feels inevitable against a proven program like Villanova on a big stage.
I'll acknowledge the hometown lean (yes, living near Villanova probably plays a small role), but the value here is clear: the road Cats have the tools to frustrate Michigan's rhythm and keep this within striking distance.
Pick: Villanova +15.5
Let's cash some tickets!
Consultant Bio
Tom Macrina is your one stop handicapper excelling in all major North American sports. Tom has been building his name in the industry posting WINNING seasons in multiple sports. Lifelong sports fan, from the Philadelphia area. Specialized in market movement/contrarian handicapping. Efficient in MLB/NCAAB/NASCAR. Capping for 10+ years. He looks for every available angle to make the smartest wager. Let's cash some tickets!