Free CS:GO Betting Picks 5/27 - ESEA MDL Season 34 Europe - Nemiga vs. Endpoint Preview & Prediction

The 18-team ESEA European Premier Division, in Season 34, features a Wednesday matchup of tournament-leading Nemiga (6-1) and Endpoint, who trails right behind them in the standings at 4-1.

While both teams are on an absolute tear, Nemiga has played two more matches than their Endpoint opponent, and opens as a slight favorite on the books at -130 (per Bovada), with Endpoint a -105 dog still taking a bit of juice, which appears to be the weighted differential of the two additional games played by Nemiga. This would indicate to me that the oddsmakers are indeed calling this as even as possible, while collecting the added juice on sheer games played.

Team Comparisons & Points Of Interest

Nemiga may also be a slight favorite due to their five-man roster all consisting of player ratings well above 1.00, ranging all the way up to Jyo’s 1.29 over the course of this tournament. Featuring some noteworthy players from lollipop21k to the aforementioned Jyo, Nemiga has posted 38.9% of their outcomes as 2-0 wins in best-of-3 matches over the past three months.

At the same time, this betting line is razor-thin for a variety of good reasons and Endpoint has similar handicap data to Nemiga, while providing an overall far larger sample size (33 matches and 81 maps to 18 matches & 44 maps of Nemiga’s past three months). Endpoint’s five-man roster is nothing to scoff at either, with some potent namesake in CRUC1AL and MiGHTYMAX.

Also, Endpoint provides a glimpse at a bit more aid to the argument of consistency, with ten percent less overall loss ratio and a 76.7% combined win percentage in the three-month sample size (55.6% for Nemiga).

With the added volume in their recent months played, naturally Endpoint has indeed played more maps to provide a greater look at their strength differential in map selection that may occur.

Pick: Endpoint ML (-105 @ Bovada)

In the sample size provided from the past three months of play, map selection and anticipatory bans are some wild card factors to certainly consider panning out. Endpoint looks to have a significant weakness in playing on Mirage, where Nemiga appears to tout that as a strong suit.

However, Train plays into the hand of Endpoint where Nemiga doesn’t have recent recorded play there. Whether each of these maps in Mirage and Train wind up as the respective team bans is yet to be determined, but I wouldn’t be surprised if so. Dust2 is another strong card in the pocket of Endpoint, and Nuke may be the added benefit to Nemiga’s strength of play.

With this being a best-of-1 series, I think it may play to the advantage of team Endpoint considering they’ve required less 3-game series en route to victory in their sample sizes of handicap data, which would give me the lean toward thinking they’re more consistent out of the gates.