Free Picks for Keeneland - 10/14/21

Free Picks for Keeneland - 10/14/21

Race 1 at Keeneland on Thursday is a 1 mile and 1/16 claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $35,000 and field of 6. 1 TapTime has a victory at 1 mile, was third when last out earlier in October and must be taken into consideration. 3 Italian Twin has a victory at 1 mile, was third when last seen in August, has one of the best in the business in the saddle and on these terms is the one to beat. 4 Katie’s Belle was a winner last time out in September, jockey selection is a big plus and plays a prominent role today. 3 Italian Twin to win, Eacta 3-4

Race 2 at Keeneland on Thursday is a 1-mile and 1/16 Maiden claiming for 2 year olds with a purse of $35,000 and field of 8. 5 Waters of Merom is the half-sister of Lucy’s Cakes Fly, has placed in one of two starts, was fifth when last out in September and plays a prominent role today. 6 Mizhipzletus is the half-sister of Magic Mule, has not placed in either of two starts, was third when last seen in September but against this class is the one to beat. 7 Classical Romance has placed in one of three starts, was second last time out in September and finishes amongst the leaders. 6 Mizhipzletus to win, Exacta 6-5

Race 3 on Thursday at Keeneland is a 1-mile and 1/16 claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $46,000 and field of 7. 2 Motagally has three victories in races of up to 1 mile, was sixth when last out in September and must be on all shortlists today. 6 Treasure Trove has seven victories in races of up to 1 mile, was fifth when last seen in September but a drop in class is the difference maker today. 7 Roaming Union has six victories in races of up to 1 mile, was a winner last time out in September and must be respected by the rest. 6 Treasure Trove to win, Exacta 6-7

Race 4 on Thursday at Keeneland is a 1-mile end 1/16 Maiden claiming for 2 year olds with a purse of $35,000 in field of 9. 5 Crazy Genius has not placed in any of 4 starts, was sixth when last in September and finishes amongst the leaders today. 7 LemonadeAtTheLatch has placed in one of two outings, was sixth when last seen in September but has a highly talented jockey in the saddle and plays a prominent role today. 8 Loonshot has placed in two of 4 starts, was second last time out in September and must be at or near the top of all shortlists today. 8 Loonshot to win, Exacta 8-7

Race 5 at Keeneland on Thursday is a 6 ½ furlong claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $32,000 and field of 8. 1 Belfast Boy has a victory at six furlongs, was fifth when last out in June and must be respected by the others. 3 Freudian Fate was a winner when last out in September, debuts with a new stable today and cannot be overlooked. 5 B Maker was a winner last time out in early October, debuts with a new stable today and on these terms and against this class is the one to catch. 5 B Maker to win, Exacta 5-3

Race 6 on Thursday at Keeneland is a 7 furlong Maiden special weight for 2 year olds with a purse of $84,000 and field of 11. 1 Ruggs is the half-brother of Amnesty, debuts from this venue today and on connections merits consideration. 2 Almanzo is the half-brother of American Gal, was fourth while debuting last month and must be respected by the rest. 9 Ignitis has placed four times in four starts, was third last time out in September and on current form is the one the rest will chase to the line. 9 Ignitis to win, Exacta 9-2

Race 7 at Keeneland on Thursday is a 1-mile and 3/16 Maiden special weight for three year olds and up with a purse of $84,000 and field of 14. 1 Bella Conchita has placed in two of 6 starts, was second when last out in September and finishes amongst the leaders today. 7 Palamos has placed in two of 5 starts, was second when last seen in August and must be on all shortlists today. 12 Fast As Flight has placed in each of two starts, was third last time out in September and on these terms is difficult to deny today. 12 Fast As Flight to win, Exacta 12-7

Race 8 on Thursday at Keeneland is a 7 furlong allowance for three year olds and up with a purse of $86,000 and field of 15. 5 Milliken is the half-brother of McCraken, was a winner when last out in August, has a talented jockey in the saddle and on these terms is the one the rest must attempt to catch. 6 Olympiad has a victory at seven furlongs, was second when last seen in September and holds solid claims today. 9 Bears Watching has a victory at seven furlongs, was fifth last time out in September and merits consideration today. 5 Milliken to win, Exacta 5-6

Race 9 at Keeneland on Thursday is a 1 ½ mile allowance for three year olds and up with a purse of $88,000 and field of 16. 4 Mud Pie has two victories in races of up to 1 mile and 4 furlongs, was a winner when last out in September and has a highly talented jockey on board. 5 Big Buzz has three victories in races of up to 1 mile and 2 furlongs, was 4th when last seen in August and finishes amongst the leaders today. 7 Malthael has two victories in races of up to 1 mile and 3 furlongs, was second last time out in September, has one of the best in the business on board and on these terms is the one to beat. 7 Malthael to win, Exacta 7-4

The tenth and final race on Thursday at Keeneland is a six-furlong maiden claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $29,000 and field of 11. 5 Cha Cha Mission has placed in one of five starts, was sixth when last out in August and finishes as part of the lead group today. 7 Catalan has not placed in any of four starts, was well back when last seen in September but a drop in grade is a big help today. 10 Bit O Bodie has placed four times in seven starts, was well off the pace last time out in September but cannot be overlooked today. 7 Catalan to win, Exacta 7-5



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Kevin Vallego

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.