Written by The Admiral
HAVU and Hard4U will meet in the swiss round 4 (teams with a 2-1 record) of the LOOT.BET Season 7, and the winner will advance to the playoffs. These rivals have never met before.
The Finnish team HAVU were in an excellent form of four consecutive wins, but then lost two of the last four games. However, those two wins came against Wisla Krakow and HONORIS in the LOOT.BET Season 7, and HAVU have a 62.5% win rate over the past three months. When it comes to the maps during the same period, HAVU are showing the best displays on Train map (80.0%). On the other hand, they have been below average on Overpass (42.9%).
Hard4U failed to extend their winning streak to four matches as they suffered a 2-1 loss to Endpoint at the DreamHack Open Summer 2020 Europe Open Qualifier. The Russian just assembled the lineup this month and played only eight matches. They have a 75.0% win rate in that period. During that span, Hard4U were unbeaten on Dust2 and Overpass, while they have been average on Inferno (50.0%), Nuke (50.0%0, and Train (50.0%).
HAVU are the firm favorites here, but since the formation of a new lineup, Hard4U are playing very well and suffered only two defeats in eight matches. Both losses produced a maximum of three maps, so I expect them to put up a fight in this one and win a map even if they lose. Betting on HAVU to win at -400 is out of the question, so I am going with greater value and playing on the over.