UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs Prochazka Best Bets
Main Card
Dominck Reyes (+107) vs Jiri Prochazka (-129)
Cub Swanson (+152) vs Giga Chikadze (-182)
Dustin Jacoby (+102) vs Ion Cutelaba (-124)
Krysztof Jotko (+226) vs Sean Strickland (-282)
Cody Stamann (+211) vs Merab Dvalishvilli (-259)
My picks in bold
All odds are mean odds provided by
https://www.bestfightodds.com/ as of May 1, 2021
Now there's a main event worth betting on if you are looking to spice up the biggest fight of the night even more so. I'm going to make a play on Jiri. You can find my breakdown here but some other things came to light. Mainly, Reyes discussed his mental battle with internet trolls, and Prochazka looked to be in phenomenal shape on the scale. The underdog I like the most on the main card is Jacoby just given Cutelaba's mad blitzes and questionable chin lately but even that is a pretty risky play (not to mention it opened at +120 so we lost some value here if we bet it this late). Strickland looks to deserve that heavy favorite status for his bout with Jotko. Good parlay padder for sure.
Undercard
Randa Markos (+139) vs Luana Pinheiro (-167)
Kai Kamaka (-154) vs T.J Brown (+128)
Poliana Botelho (-271) vs Luana Carolina (+218)
Loma Lookboonmee (-398) vs Sam Hughes (+305)
Andreas Michailidis (-231) vs KB Bhullar (+186)
Luke Sanders (-140) vs Felipe Colares (+116)
Two fighters missed weight here. One fight was scrapped because of it which is a shame because I felt really good about Gabriel Benitez. The other fighter who came in heavy was Luana Carolina. Botelho was going to walk through her regardless but this seems to further confirm it. It's pretty sad that I have a couple underdogs picked but have such little confidence in it that I can't even recommend a play. The higher risk bettors can check out the breakdowns for those fights here and here to decide if it's worth it. I'm going to pass on them. Nothing terribly exciting but a few plays that get close to even money.
