Terry Edelmann

Today’s Free Picks

The PLAY: (SD) Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+135) Action

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Play: (SD) Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+135) at Draftkings

San Diego Padres utility man Samad Taylor has been an absolute revelation this season, developing into an elite high-value target in the prop market. Taylor has crushed his betting lines by clearing multiple Hits + Runs + RBIs (HRRs) in nine of his last 11 games played. He enters today's contest with a blistering .375 batting average and an elite .432 on-base percentage through his first 11 games.

While Taylor will be getting his first look at Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi today, the matchup heavily swings in the young hitter's favour. Eovaldi has notably struggled to find consistency on the year, holding a losing 6-7 record alongside a vulnerable 4.23 ERA. Given Taylor’s spectacular knack for getting on base and the recent offensive explosion in this series, he is beautifully positioned to exploit the struggling veteran right-hander.

The PLAY: (CHC) Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Bases (+112) Action

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Play: (CHC) Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Bases (+112) at Draftkings

Chicago Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong enters today's matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays riding an explosive statistical surge. He has recorded multiple total bases in nine consecutive games, a blazing stretch that includes racking up three or more bases in five of his last six outings.

Crow-Armstrong plays exceptionally well at Wrigley Field, clearing three bases in seven of his last nine home games, and he carried that momentum into yesterday's series opener with a perfect 3-for-3 performance at the plate. He has a proven track record against Toronto starter Patrick Corbin, batting 2-for-4 (.500) against him in his career. Corbin has struggled heavily this season, surrendering 11 earned runs over his last three abbreviated starts, and he enters with a poor 1.48 WHIP. Furthermore, Toronto possesses a heavily depleted bullpen after yesterday's brutal 16-2 loss where they were forced to use six different relievers, including outfielder Myles Straw to mop up the final innings.

The PLAY: (TOR) Chad Kelly Over 316.5 Passing Yards (-112)

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Play: (TOR) Chad Kelly Over 316.5 Pass Yards (-112) at Fanduel

Toronto Argonauts quarterback Chad Kelly proved last week that elite talent requires absolutely no warmup. Stepping onto a CFL field for the first time in 19 months, Kelly completely dismantled any narrative surrounding potential rust. He put on a masterclass performance, slicing through a Montreal defense for a staggering 445 passing yards, three touchdowns, and just a single interception. If the Argonauts are going to stack up wins this season, their success will live and die on the arm of their star signal-caller.

Heading into Week 3, Kelly is primed to carry this explosive momentum directly into Ottawa. While the Redblacks' defense struggled to find their footing in their opening game, Kelly is already operating at peak efficiency. Despite some afternoon rain in the forecast, Toronto’s offensive scheme is designed to feed Kelly's aggressive downfield passing style. Expect the Argonauts to lean heavily on his elite playmaking ability to dictate the tempo, making the Over on Kelly's total passing yards a good play on this weekend's football card.

(I would take this up to 325.5 Pass Yards)