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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (905) Milwaukee Brewers at (906) Cincinnati Reds: Spread | 7:10pm EDT - Jun 24/2026 |
The PLAY: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-130) Action
Brewers vs Reds MLB Free Pick
After dropping back-to-back close contests (1-2 on Monday, 0-2 on Tuesday), the public is lining up to back the red-hot Brewers to complete the road sweep. However, the sharp money knows how difficult it is to sweep a divisional foe on their own turf, and the situational value lies heavily with the home underdog to bounce back.
The Reds hand the ball to high-upside rookie right-hander Rhett Lowder (3-4, 4.82 ERA). While Lowder’s standard-line metrics show some freshman instability, his underlying command remains lethal. Because the Brewers’ lineup hasn't faced Lowder extensively, the initial familiarity edge tilts heavily toward the young right-hander.
The Brewers counter with left-hander Shane Drohan (3-2, 3.40 ERA). Drohan has put up tidy surface numbers, but a deeper look reveals he is ripe for regression. Drohan averages a modest 4 2/3 innings per start, heavily taxing a Brewers bullpen that has logged heavy high-leverage innings over their current three-game winning streak.
While Milwaukee’s offense has been highly efficient this season, their power has completely dried up, as they have hit the third-fewest home runs in all of baseball (68). Conversely, the Reds possess the exact blueprint needed to exploit Drohan as Cincinnati ranks near the top tier of the league with 96 home runs.
The Bet: Reds +1½ (3%).
Consultant Bio
Magic Mike Moneymaker's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the bookmakers. All Mike's plays come with write ups backing up his selection, giving you a glimpse into his process of breaking down games.
Just as in cash game poker, the goal is not to win that giant pot once in a while, but to build your bankroll slowly and steadily by identifying +EV situations to exploit.
----Handicapping Methodology----
As a former online poker pro, Mike knows the value of creating systems and winning formulas through statistical analysis and math to use as a baseline, but much like poker, sports are played by human beings with emotions and feelings.
Identifying letdown spots, bounce-back spots and situational betting in general plays a big part in Mike's success in picking winners, but he's also not a stranger to locking in a bet based on stats and trends alone.