Friday MLB Player Prop Three Pack

Today’s Free Picks

Sport	Game Selection	Game Time
MLB	(967) Tampa Bay Rays at (968) Houston Astros: Cedric Mullins Home Runs	8:15pm EDT - Jul 3/2026

The PLAY: (TB) Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Run (+470) Action

This is a 1% PLAY

Play: (TB) Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Run (+470) at Fanduel

Cedric Mullins enters tonight's matchup operating at a legendary offensive level for the Tampa Bay Rays, establishing his player prop markets as a premier target for sports bettors. The dynamic outfielder has been an absolute cash cow, launching a home run in four of his last five games to show he is completely locked into his launch angles.

Mullins is in a prime situational position to extend his hot streak as he matches up against Houston Astros right-hander Spencer Arrighetti. While Mullins is 0-for-2 in limited career at-bats against him, Arrighetti’s current form completely eliminates any historical pitching advantage. The right-hander has completely bottomed out on the mound, tracking a miserable 0-3 record alongside a bloated 9.00 ERA across his five starts in June. Arrighetti’s primary undoing has been a sudden, catastrophic inability to keep the ball inside the park, surrendering three home runs in back-to-back starts. Facing a hyper-focused, in-form power hitter like Mullins who is actively hunting fastballs leaves Arrighetti severely exposed.

Sport	Game Selection	Game Time
CFL	(691) Saskatchewan Roughriders at (692) Ottawa Redblacks	7:30pm EDT - Jul 3/2026

The PLAY: (SSK) Trevor Harris Over 301.5 Passing Yards (-112)

This is a 2% PLAY

Play: (SSK) Trevor Harris Over 301.5 Passing Yards (-112) at Fanduel

Trevor Harris enters tonight's Week 5 matchup operating at a legendary level for the Saskatchewan Roughriders, cementing his passing yards market as an absolute premier betting target. The veteran quarterback has put on a total masterclass through the first month of the 2026 CFL season, throwing for the third-most passing yards in the league with 1,175 to go along with 8 touchdowns and just a single interception. Harris has displayed a massive statistical ceiling by completely shredding opposing secondaries for 417, 349, and 409 passing yards in his first three outings, anchoring a hyper-efficient, high-volume vertical offense that refuses to let off the gas pedal.

Harris is in a prime situational position to cross his passing prop lines yet again as the Roughriders look to bounce back from a tight 40-34 loss to Toronto. While superstar running back A.J. Ouellette remains sidelined, his absence forces the Saskatchewan game plan to lean entirely onto Harris's right arm. He will have his full complement of elite aerial weapons, as dynamic receivers Kian Schaffer-Baker and KeeSean Johnson have both been cleared to play. They draw a dream matchup against a winless, desperate Ottawa REDBLACKS squad whose defense has completely bottomed out—allowing the league's second-most points, the most total yards, and a generous 345.0 passing yards against per game.

Sport	Game Selection	Game Time
MLB	(953) Pittsburgh Pirates at (954) Washington Nationals: Esmerlyn Valdez Hits + Runs + RBIs	6:45pm EDT - Jul 3/2026

The PLAY: (PIT) Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-124) Action

This is a 2% PLAY

Play: (PIT) Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-124) at Draftkings

Esmerlyn Valdez enters tonight’s matchup operating at a legendary level for the Pittsburgh Pirates. The explosive 22-year-old rookie has been an absolute cash cow, locking in multiple Hits + Runs + RBIs (HRRs) in nine of his last ten games. Valdez has displayed a massive statistical ceiling during this hot streak, clearing the bar with three or more HRRs in six of his last nine matchups. Proving his production is entirely matchup-proof, Valdez has successfully cashed his prop lines in consecutive games against elite, top-tier starting pitching, displaying pristine plate discipline and an unbothered approach against the league's best arms.

The dynamic rookie will get his very first career look at Washington Nationals left-hander Foster Griffin as this series shifts to Nationals Park. While Griffin has been exceptionally sharp over the last month—shredding lineups to the tune of an impressive 8-2 record and a 2.93 ERA this season—Valdez has completely neutralized southpaws all year. The rookie is boasting a blistering .400 batting average against left-handed pitching in his limited big-league sample size, giving him a massive platoon advantage over Griffin tonight. Facing an aggressive, in-form power hitter who hunts breaking stuff completely flips the script on the Nationals' lefty.

According to the latest stadium climate analytics, the game-day environment in Washington will provide a massive natural tailwind for offensive production. The forecast at Nationals Park calls for a sweltering 88°F temperature heavily saturated by 65% humidity, with a light breeze blowing toward the gaps. Combined with the physical environment perfectly elevating Valdez’s high exit velocities and Griffin facing a lineup designed to disrupt his rhythm, the layout is perfectly tailored to help him cash his multi-HRR line early.

(I would take this up to -135 if it moves past that then take Over 1.5 Bases instead)