Hot Streaks:
31-11-0 since Dec 2, 2025 in Last 42 CBB Overall
24-9-1 since Nov 27, 2025 in Last 34 CBB Totals
16-5-0 since Sep 15, 2025 in Monday Night Football Overall
10-3-0 since Sep 22, 2025 in MNF Totals
18-4-2 since Nov 21, 2025 in Last 24 CFB Totals
Last updated Dec 11, 6:39 AM EST
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (451) Atlanta Falcons at (452) Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8:15pm EST - Dec 11/2025 |
The PLAY: Atlanta Falcons +5.0 (-110)
Atlanta catching five points against Tampa Bay looks like the sharper side when you dig into the matchup and the ATS history. The Falcons have quietly been reliable in this role, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven as division road underdogs and 7-3 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games, a trend that speaks to their ability to travel well and stay competitive. Statistically, Atlanta’s offense is balanced, averaging 330 total yards per game (16th) with 123.6 rushing yards (12th) and 206.4 passing yards (18th), while their defense has held opponents to just 322.5 yards per game (14th) and ranks top-10 against the pass (191.5 yards allowed, 9th). Tampa Bay has been solid offensively at 315 yards per game (22nd) and 23.0 points per game (17th), but their defense has been leaky, giving up 338.4 yards (21st) and 25.0 points per game (23rd), particularly vulnerable through the air (237.8 passing yards allowed, 27th). Combine that with the Bucs’ brutal ATS record in this exact spot—0-7 ATS in their last seven Thursday home games—and the trends plus the statistical matchup lean toward Atlanta keeping this one tight and covering the number.
Consultant Bio
David Hess has earned his place as one of the most trusted and respected handicappers in the industry. With years of experience analyzing games across all major college and professional sports, David brings a unique blend of passion, precision, and statistical expertise to his craft. Whether it’s football on Saturday afternoons, baseball in the heat of summer, or basketball under the bright lights of March, David has built a reputation for consistently delivering results.
At the heart of David’s success is his keen eye for totals. While many handicappers focus on sides, David has carved out a niche by specializing in Over/Under plays, where he consistently identifies value others often overlook. Totals betting requires not only an understanding of matchups, but also pace, efficiency, and situational factors that go beyond the box score. David excels at weaving these elements together, blending advanced metrics, historical data, and real-time information to produce plays that give bettors an edge. Over the course of his career, he has hit more than 61% of his college football totals, a remarkable level of consistency that has made him a go-to source for bettors who want reliable winners.
But David’s expertise extends far beyond totals. He is a true all-around handicapper, covering the full spectrum of sports with confidence and accuracy. In the NFL, David’s ability to read line movement and anticipate public perception gives him an edge week after week. On the college football side, he dives deep into team tendencies, coaching styles, and matchup advantages, producing insights that often uncover value the oddsmakers miss. In MLB, David shines by evaluating bullpens, advanced hitting splits, and situational angles that allow him to consistently cash tickets. Basketball is another area of strength, where his understanding of tempo and efficiency metrics helps him dominate both NBA and college hoops.
David’s approach is not about chasing big wins with reckless wagers—it’s about long-term, disciplined success. He treats handicapping as both an art and a science, combining data-driven analysis with intuition developed through years of experience. His clients know they’re not just getting plays; they’re getting plays backed by hours of research and proven methodology.
One of the reasons bettors trust David is his transparency and honesty. He takes pride in his record, openly sharing his results and letting his track record speak for itself. In an industry where hype can often outweigh substance, David separates himself by delivering exactly what he promises: consistent, profitable picks.
Above all, David Hess is passionate about helping his clients win. He understands that every bettor is looking for an edge, and his job is to provide it. By focusing on what he does best—breaking down games, analyzing totals, and uncovering hidden value—David continues to prove why he is considered one of the sharpest handicappers in the game today.
Whether you’re a casual bettor looking for some action on the weekend, or a serious investor focused on building profits long term, David Hess has the knowledge, experience, and winning track record to help you succeed.