Tom's NBA Best Bet 1/2

Today’s Free Picks

The PLAY: Total Under +227 (-110)

Kings @ Suns - Under 226.5
The total for this Pacific Division clash has steamed down from an opener of 228.5 to the current 226.5, signaling sharp money on the under—and for good reason.
Both teams have consistently trended toward lower scoring affairs this season. When these squads met just over a month ago around Thanksgiving (Nov. 26), Phoenix dominated with a 112-100 victory, holding Sacramento to exactly 100 points in a game that finished well under the posted number (total closed around 230).
The struggling Kings (8-25) have been one of the league's biggest disappointments, particularly on the offensive end where they've failed to find rhythm. They're mired in a rough stretch, dropping games convincingly while struggling mightily to generate points against competent defenses.
Meanwhile, the Suns have quietly developed a solid defensive identity, ranking among the better units in points allowed. With Phoenix favored heavily at home (-12.5), they're poised to control the pace and limit Sacramento's already anemic attack once again.
If the Suns build an early lead—as they did in the previous meeting—they can ease off the gas in the fourth, giving extended minutes to the bench and further suppressing the scoring output.
All signs point to another grind it out, lower scoring battle.
Play: Kings/Suns Under 226.5

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