I’m riding a 4–1 NCAAB run, and tonight’s Best Bet is an ugly, under-the-radar matchup most bettors won’t touch, which is exactly where the value shows up. If you’re willing to hold your nose and trust the numbers, this is the type of spot that keeps the run going.
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (385) Houston Texans at (386) Pittsburgh Steelers: Nico Collins Receiving Yards | 8:15pm EST - Jan 12/2026 |
The PLAY: Nico Collins Receiving Yards Over 68.5 (-115)
After going under this number in his last two games, Nico Collins is lined up for a big night in the Monday Night spotlight. Before the matchups against the Raiders and Chargers, Collins posted at least 75 receiving yards in six of his previous seven games.
Tonight, he faces a Steelers defense that ranks 28th in the NFL over the last three games in yards allowed per pass attempt. Even more important, Collins is battle-tested in the playoffs, clearing 81+ receiving yards in three of his four career postseason games.
Despite missing two games, Collins has nearly twice as many targets as any other Texans wide receiver this season. Back C.J. Stroud’s favorite target to fly over the number tonight.
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (385) Houston Texans at (386) Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards | 8:15pm EST - Jan 12/2026 |
The PLAY: Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Over 204.5 (-117)
Aaron Rodgers Over Passing Yards is the way I’m attacking this one.
Pittsburgh won’t be able to run the ball against a Texans defense that’s elite versus the rush, forcing Rodgers to throw early and often. He’s cleared 224+ yards in four of his last five games and now gets DK Metcalf back.
Houston’s pass defense has slipped lately, allowing 7.6 yards per attempt over the last three games. Game script sets up perfectly for volume and efficiency through the air.
Consultant Bio
I’ve always had a passion for sports and competition. While my physical ceiling as an athlete was limited, I excelled on the cerebral side of the game and in simplifying complex concepts. Handicapping became my way to keep competing and turn pro. For over a decade, I’ve dedicated myself to mastering the art and science of sports betting, building a trusted brand, sharing insights on major platforms, and collaborating with industry leaders. I enjoy helping others develop discipline, win consistently, and think like pros.