Hot Streaks:
Last updated Aug 23, 11:01 PM EDT
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (759) Vanderbilt at (760) Texas: Spread | 9:00pm EST - Jan 14/2026 |
The PLAY: Texas +5.5 (-110)
Go with home teams with two or more losses versus opponent with one or fewer is 279-214-5. If the opponents is not ranked in the top 3 in the polls, it’s 49-32-1
Luck Factor indicates Vanderbilt has been lucky this season with 2 more real wins than advanced metrics say they should have with Texas at -1.1, a gap of 3.1.
TeamRankings Luck Factor in college basketball is a results-based over-/under-performance metric, not a projection or power rating. It is designed to isolate how much a team’s win–loss record deviates from what its scoring margins imply.The handicapping significance is lucky teams are overvalued and unlucky undervalued do to deceptive and overrated (from an ATS standpoint) SU records. Because the ratings are precise, it does not result in perfectly rounded numbers.
Consultant Bio
Joe Duffy: From Prodigy to Sports Handicapping Pioneer
Joe Duffy has been handicapping sports literally since childhood. Growing up in suburban Philadelphia, he became fascinated with picking winners against the spread when the Philadelphia Inquirer ran a season-long contest featuring professional handicappers selecting five NFL games each week.
Using the same point spreads as the pros, young Joe submitted his own “armchair picks.” In his very first year, he outperformed every official contestant by several games—a moment that sparked a lifelong obsession with sports betting.
Throughout his pre-teen years, Duffy continued as a “fantasy handicapper,” consistently finishing near or at the top of the contest. During grade school and high school, he was a devoted listener to Mickey Charles’ weekend handicapping shows on WCAU-AM, where legends like Mike Lee and Lem Banker shared their theories. True to his studious nature, Duffy even took notes, absorbing every detail like a sponge.
It was no coincidence that years later, he got his first break in the industry with Charles’ company. While paying his way through college, Duffy began working as a Scorephone announcer for Dial Sports 976 Scorephones. At the same time, he honed his broadcasting skills as a play-by-play announcer for California University of Pennsylvania’s radio and TV stations.
Upon graduation, Duffy immediately transitioned into a full-time handicapper and scorephone announcer for the toll-free score services. There, he studied directly under two legendary mentors: Ray Scott, the iconic broadcaster who won the Pete Rozelle Radio-Television Award from the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2000, and Hank Stram, the Super Bowl–winning coach inducted into the Hall of Fame in 2003. Both played a major role in shaping Duffy’s career.
Duffy’s trajectory continued upward as he became General Manager of the national Freescoreboard scorephones. During this era, fellow announcers nicknamed him “Mr. March” for his dominance during college basketball’s conference tournaments and NCAA Tournament. That moniker evolved into “The Lord of the Big Dance,” a title he still carries proudly, having posted a winning March Madness every year since 1998.
Over the decades, Duffy has become one of the most published voices in sports betting strategy. He has written extensively, hosted and guested on podcasts and videos, and earned national recognition as a featured expert. His insights have appeared on ESPN, Bleacher Report, and across countless TV, radio, and digital platforms worldwide.
Today, Joe Duffy stands as the leading handicapper in advanced analytics, leveraging statistically significant computer systems and proprietary betting formulas to deliver consistent results. What began as a childhood passion has evolved into a career of unmatched credibility, longevity, and influence in the sports handicapping industry.