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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CFB | (115) Houston at (116) Central Florida | 8:00pm EST - Nov 7/2025 |
The PLAY: Houston -1.5 (-106)
The Bounce House is an intimidating environment, but there are too many red flags to pick the Knights to cover, especially considering that they're only getting one point. They're coming off an awful showing last week, as their offensive performance was downright offensive. For a team coming off a bye, UCF was turnover-prone and undisciplined, putting itself behind the eight ball all game. If those costly mistakes rear their ugly head again this week, the home team will get crushed, as Houston ranks 23rd nationally in turnovers and 30th in penalties per game.
Central Florida is a good defensive team, and I expect that to keep the score close in the first half, but Conner Weigman and the Cougars will pull away after halftime to easily cover the spread. The visitors convert their third downs (48th in conversion rate) and come away with points in the red zone (12th in scoring percentage). The Knights, on the other hand, rank 123rd in third-down conversions and 103rd in red zone conversions. At 7-2, Houston still has plenty of motivation to keep winning and should bounce back from an uncharacteristic, sloppy performance against West Virginia.
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Consultant Bio
I jumped into sports betting headfirst due to an irresistible call to action. I am a sports writer by trade, earning my B.A. in Journalism with a sports reporting concentration from Michigan State in 2012. With my journalism background, I combine thorough research with a keen eye for hidden value to generate consistent profits for my clients. In my free time, I enjoy talking "shop" with like-minded people. This allows me to see different angles and avoid traps that derail my progress. In short, their insight and intuition assist or deter my decision-making process. The pitfalls to avoid in sports gambling are following the crowd, assumptions, gullibility, and lack of accountability. A bettor is never as hot or cold as their best and worst streaks. By dedicating yourself to obtaining knowledge, you will never feel like you know it all. At its core, sports betting is about intuition. When you can predict which way the wind will blow, you will never feel caught up in the current stream. Sometimes you need to be counterintuitive. Risk is in the mind of the beholder, but when you bet with me, you'll find that the reward justifies the wager!