Free College Football Predictions for November 6

Michael Briggs

Event: (115) Houston at (116) Central Florida

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: November 7, 2025 8:00 PM EST

Free College Football Pick Today: Houston -1.5 (-106)

The Bounce House is an intimidating environment, but there are too many red flags to pick the Knights to cover, especially considering that they're only getting one point. They're coming off an awful showing last week, as their offensive performance was downright offensive. For a team coming off a bye, UCF was turnover-prone and undisciplined, putting itself behind the eight ball all game. If those costly mistakes rear their ugly head again this week, the home team will get crushed, as Houston ranks 23rd nationally in turnovers and 30th in penalties per game.

Central Florida is a good defensive team, and I expect that to keep the score close in the first half, but Conner Weigman and the Cougars will pull away after halftime to easily cover the spread. The visitors convert their third downs (48th in conversion rate) and come away with points in the red zone (12th in scoring percentage). The Knights, on the other hand, rank 123rd in third-down conversions and 103rd in red zone conversions. At 7-2, Houston still has plenty of motivation to keep winning and should bounce back from an uncharacteristic, sloppy performance against West Virginia.

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