Free NFL Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

This is a 2% PLAY

Play: (KC) Kenneth Walker III Over 91.5 Rush Yards (-110) at DraftKings

I know 91.5 is a high rushing total, but Kenneth Walker has been running at such an elite level that I’m willing to back him to clear it against the Chargers.

Walker has rushed for at least 97 yards in six of his last eight games, averaging an outstanding 118.37 rushing yards per game during that stretch. He has consistently handled a heavy workload and has shown the ability to turn that volume into explosive rushing performances.

He enters this matchup rested after Kansas City’s bye week and is coming off his best rushing performance of the season. Walker torched Las Vegas for 177 rushing yards on 22 carries, averaging more than eight yards per attempt while scoring twice. He has now rushed for 537 yards through his first four games with Kansas City, averaging 6.2 yards per carry.

The matchup also gives him an opportunity to keep the streak going. The Chargers have allowed 593 rushing yards over their first five games, an average of 118.6 per game, including 176 rushing yards against Buffalo and 138 against Seattle.

Kansas City has clearly shown a willingness to build the offense around Walker, giving him 18 or more carries in every game this season. Coming off a bye should only help keep him fresh for another significant workload.

With at least 97 rushing yards in six of his last eight games, a 118.37-yard average during that stretch, 177 yards in his last game, and extra rest coming off the bye, I like Walker to get past this high number.

The Sunday Comp play in the NFL is on the Las Vegas Raiders plus the points. The Raiders look to bounce back from last weeks blowout loss and they catch the Bills off a massive upset win over the Rams on Monday night football. Rob notes that road favorites off a road dog win that has more than 220 yards rushing are 1-5 straight up and 0-6 to the spread on Sundays since 1993. In fact week 6 home dogs that opened 3-0 and are off back to back losses are perfect long term vs a team off a win. Look for Vegas to hang around for a cover here. GL Rob V-

This is a 2% PLAY

Play: (JAX) Parker Washington Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at DraftKings

I like Parker Washington to go Over 61.5 receiving yards on Sunday Morning!

Washington enters this matchup averaging 89.55 receiving yards per game in his last nine games going back to last year. Washington has at least 83 Receiving Yards in Seven of his last Nine games!! He has also shown plenty of big-play ability, averaging 16.0 yards per reception this season, which gives him a strong chance to get over this number without needing an extremely high catch total.

His usage has also been encouraging. Washington has seen 35 targets through five games, including nine targets last week, when he finished with 124 receiving yards and two touchdowns. That type of volume gives him a strong floor, while his explosiveness gives him plenty of upside.

The matchup is also favorable. Houston has allowed 256.2 passing yards per game through its first five games and has already given up several big passing performances this season.

With Washington averaging over 89.55 receiving yards per game going back to last season and seeing strong target volume and coming off a 124-yard performance, I like him to stay involved and get past 61.5 receiving yards on Sunday Morning.

I'm taking the Chargers +7.5 here. Los Angeles is off to a rough start, going 0-5 against the spread, but this is a good spot to buy low. The Chargers won both meetings with Kansas City last season and are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog against the Chiefs. They're also 3-0-1 ATS in their last four head-to-head matchups overall. Kansas City is undefeated, but it doesn't need to win by double digits. Getting more than a touchdown is too much value to pass up, and I like the Chargers to keep this one close, if not shock the world with the straight up win.

Another Free Pick Winner from Higgs (3 PICKS TOTAL in Video!!) Sean is 4-4 -135 with his NFL Videos this season.

Sean is currently the #1 Overall Capper on the site for 2026 (#1 CFB + #1 MLB) A 29-26 NFL record as we enter Week 6.

ALWAYS the Truth with Sean - WIN or LOSE - Make the SMART MONEY MOVE - get a monthy pass and Win Long Term With Higgs!

Another Free Pick Winner from Higgs (3 PICKS TOTAL in Video!!) Sean is 4-4 -135 with his NFL Videos this season.

Sean is currently the #1 Overall Capper on the site for 2026 (#1 CFB + #1 MLB) A 29-26 NFL record as we enter Week 6.

ALWAYS the Truth with Sean - WIN or LOSE - Make the SMART MONEY MOVE - get a monthy pass and Win Long Term With Higgs!

Chicago hits the road off an embarrassing 24-point loss in Green Bay.  The Bears should be getting their QB back for this game, and HC Ben Johnson has been able to get his team to respond well after an ugly defeat.  Atlanta also comes in off a loss, and the Falcons have scored 103 total points over their last 3 games.  However, they are 0-2 at home this season while giving up 64 points in those games.  Chicago is trusted more to bounce back off a bad performance, so play the road team in this game on Sunday afternoon.

Play BEARS.

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Off a 26-3 loss to Houston, the Titans are 0-5. Struggling on both sides of the ball, they've now lost 33 of their last 39 games. This figures to be another tough matchup for them. The Colts also lost their last game. However, they'd won two in a row before that. With back-to-back tough road contests following this one, Indianapolis needs to take advantage of this winnable game. The Colts have beaten the Texans six straight times. This season, the Titans are last in total offense (31st in passing and 27th in rushing) and they're also last in terms of average time of possession. They average just 11.6 ppg. Indianapolis averages 24.8 ppg. Last season's two games were both blowouts, the Colts winning by scores of 38-14 and 41-20. They should be able to win this one by at least a touchdown. *good at -7 or better

The Cowboys are in major bounce back mode after an embarrassing loss to a rookie quarterback on Thursday night football. When it comes to defense, this team is a disaster, but Green Bay ranks middle of the pack on that side of the ball, just 14^th in EPA play play defensively. This is a game where Dallas’ offense can light up the scoreboard, and it will be difficult for the Packers, even at home, to keep up. The Cowboys are 5^th in EPA per play offensively and Dak Prescott is 5^th in adjusted EPA per play amongst quarterbacks. The Packers have strung together a few wins, but the first was against a rookie making his first career start and the 2^nd was against a backup last week in Tyler Bagent, who has been awful. At some point the defense has to show us something and we are backing one of the best offenses in football in a prime spot. Take the Cowboys.

Take Chicago (#269) on the Moneyline

The ‘Daily Double’ free picks video below offers my take for Eagles - Panthers and Bears - Falcons this week.  Here’s a brief write-up for Atlanta - Chicago.

I understand that Caleb Williams may not play for the Bears this week, very questionable as I write this on Friday.  That said, I want NO part of Atlanta on Sunday, and I’m more than willing to lock in at this near pick em price with Ben Johnson’s team now —if Williams does suit up, we’ll be getting the best of the number and if he doesn’t,there’s still reason to think Atlanta is likely to be a little flat this week after three straight ‘max intensity national TV games’ ended with an exhausting OT loss to Baltimore last Sunday. In this near pick ‘em pointspread range, I’ll use a moneyline bet, asking for only the SU win, no margin needed.  Take the Bears on the Moneyline

Seagrave is on a strong 20-15 (57%) run with his posted Free Picks since August 27th!

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Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Over 53.5 (-114):

Tony Pollard has only cleared this line in 2 of 5 games thus far in 2026, but he has fallen just short in back-to-back games with 14 carries for 52 yards and 16 carries for 48 yards. Now Pollard has the opportunity to feast on an Indianapolis Colts defense that ranks DEAD LAST in opponent rush EPA and 31st in opponent rush success rate while allowing over 5 yards per carry. We have already seen three running backs absolutely smash this total against the Colts including Jaylen Warren (101), Kenneth Walker III (117) and Derrick Henry (144). Fellow running back Tyjae Spears has missed practice this week due to a knee injury so Pollard could be in line for some extra touches. Pollard has recorded 14+ carries on each of his last four games and with that type of workload he should easily surpass this line against this horrible run defense.

*Playable at 57.5 or better

Basic stats ahead of this week's game: The Chargers (0-5) are averaging only 16.8 points per game (30th in the NFL) & allowing 25.8 points per game (22nd in the NFL). The Chiefs (4-0) are averaging 29.5 points per game (5th in the NFL) & allowing 19.3 points per game (7th in the NFL).

Pick: This is the worst-case scenario for the Chargers, who are desperate for a win. They face an undefeated Chiefs team that's coming off a bye. The Chiefs have also been playing great across the board, so expect them to not only win this game but also cover the spread in a dominant performance at home.

This is a free play on DAL.

We saw a record 51 turnovers in Sunday's NFL games, and Green Bay was one of the teams that benefited the most from that. Their blowout win over the Bears came thanks to five Chicago turnovers. The Packers wins have come in overtime at the Jets in a game that New York dominated in the box score and should have won. They beat practice squad quarterback in Tampa and they won at home against Chicago's 2nd and 3rd string QBs in a game effected by turnovers. That gives them a grand total of zero legit wins if you are asking me. Dallas is still elite offensively, and the Pack aren't the best equipped to take advantage of their defensive shortcomings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pittsburgh is 4-1 straight-up and against the spread over the last five meetings with Tampa Bay, but these cross-conference foes have not met since the Steelers' 20-18 home win in October 2022 when Kenny Pickett and Mitchell Trubisky were running the offense. Tampa had some extra time to prep for this one after winning in Dallas last Thursday as a 9.5-point 'dog. Jalon Daniels was very impressive in his first career start, going 19-of-25 with only one sack and no turnovers. Bucky Irving added 165 yards on the ground with a pair of touchdowns. The vibes are also high in Pittsburgh this week after the Steelers earned a nice home win over the Colts. Pittsburgh's last three games have seen an average of 54.7 points per game, with all three of those contests flying over their respective totals. Jaylen Warren took another step forward in the Steelers' offense, rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries to go along with 87 yards and a touchdown in the passing game. After throwing two interceptions the previous week against the Browns, Aaron Rodgers played a clean game against the Colts' defense but he’s beginning to run out of weapons. Running back Rico Dowdle and wide receiver Michael Pittman have both missed extended time, and fellow receiver Roman Wilson is now expected to miss multiple weeks with a bad finger. You're now looking at a Steelers' receiving corps that features DK Metcalf, Germie Bernard and a slew of tight ends and running backs with a 42-year-old quarterback. That's not the type of team we're looking to lay points with on the road at the moment. And while the black-and-gold will undoubtedly travel well to Tampa and make an impact in the noise department, playing in South Florida is still difficult. The Bengals and Dolphins played one of the hottest October games in NFL history last week. That might be something to monitor for a Steelers team that hasn't left the Northeast this season (heck, they didn't even leave the Northeast in the preseason either). Tampa had extra time to rest and prep for this one. And with the current state of the NFC South, the Bucs can be right back in the division hunt with a win on Sunday. Play Tampa Bay Bucs

This is a free play on ATL moneyline.

The line suggests that Caleb Williams is set to return after suffering what appeared to be a career ending injury against the Vikings. The status of RB1 Kyle Monangai is even more uncertain, and if he does return he will likely not be 100 percent given the turf toe diagnosis. The Bears lead the NFL in rushing, but it's a tough matchup against the Falcons defense that has been one of the top units versus the run. The Falcons are the #2 ranked rushing offense, and the Bears defense doesn't matchup well against Bijan Robinson. If both starting QBs play, this is a case of the wrong team favored IMO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Carolina.

The Eagles appeared to have punted on the season heading into their game in London versus Jacksonville. We saw that line moved from -2.5 all the way to -7.5 at kickoff. We saw a far more competitive game than most people expected, and the Eagles really should have won. The fact that they did lose, combined with the way they lost, combined with the international travel sets them up for a huge let down. The injuries have piled up, leaving them with 4th string and practice squad running backs this week. Carolina ranks 31st in the NFL against the run, allowing 156 yards per game. Can the Eagles exploit that with a thin offensive line and practice squad running backs? My thought is that they probably can't.

GL,

Jesse Schule

FREE PICK on Los Angeles Rams (ATS) | Good until -14.0.

The loss against Buffalo last week definitely hurts. But, against a superbowl contender, the Rams can't be mad about it. They must progress forward. They have a losing record and now host a divisional opponent that's been the worst team in the division for many weeks in a row now. Arizona just traded Marvin Harrison Jr away as well. Go with the Rams - expect a blowout.